Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ab9f2a4df3ad6343005d95e270ce29e2f4df3ba9b4619afbe168d05fce17ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 12c | 15,191$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.18 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 36c | 12,000$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 38c | 11,852$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 44c | 9,449$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.01 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 55c | 7,644$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.84 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Heroic | 31c | 5,630$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.04 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 37c | 4,999$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.16 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 4,561$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.29 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Heroic | 11c | 4,354$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 50c | 4,001$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.21 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 39c | 3,697$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.88 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Heroic | 7c | 1,934$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Heroic | 49c | 1,732$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.37 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Heroic | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic | 61c | 993.21$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.95 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Heroic | 51c | 983.29$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 16c | 919.4$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Heroic | 46c | 790.8$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic | 54c | 740.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.66 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex | 48c | 577.75$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.43 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Heroic | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Yandex | 61c | 491.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.94 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 32c | 482$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 478.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 58c | 444.01$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 50c | 433.95$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.26 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…9776backed Team Yandex | 50c | 399.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Heroic | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…b686backed Heroic | 59c | 368.74$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Yandex | 48c | 358.1$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Team Yandex | 47c | 322.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Heroic | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Yandex | 44c | 280$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 53c | 266.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…6b13backed Heroic | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Heroic | 57c | 228.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex | 57c | 227.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Yandex | 44c | 213.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Team Yandex | 48c | 207.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Heroic | 43c | 201.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Yandex | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Heroic | 40c | 190.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic | 41c | 188.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic | 35c | 186.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Heroic | 54c | 180.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Team Yandex | 48c | 179.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…18b4backed Heroic | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Heroic | 31c | 169.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Heroic | 37c | 168.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Heroic | 9c | 165$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Heroic | 14c | 154$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Heroic | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic | 44c | 149.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 139.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic | 71c | 138.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Yandex | 43c | 134.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Team Yandex | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Heroic | 50c | 120.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Heroic | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…b75dbacked Heroic | 61c | 117.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Team Yandex | 46c | 113.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…68dbbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 110.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Team Yandex | 44c | 103.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 101.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Team Yandex | 48c | 100.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Heroic | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…6c5ebacked Heroic | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5d…6dd3backed Heroic | 54c | 87.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Heroic | 30c | 86.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0b89backed Heroic | 42c | 83.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Heroic | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed Team Yandex | 67c | 79.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 79.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Yandex | 43c | 72.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Heroic | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…8a05backed Heroic | 61c | 66.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Heroic | 17c | 63.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Yandex | 51c | 63.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Yandex | 42c | 59.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Yandex | 40c | 57.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Heroic | 41c | 47.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Heroic | 25c | 45.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Heroic | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 38.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Team Yandex | 62c | 31.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Heroic | 57c | 31.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed Team Yandex | 49c | 25.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Heroic | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Heroic | 58c | 24.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…f13fbacked Heroic | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Team Yandex | 48c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Heroic | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Heroic | 52c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Team Yandex | 64c | 16.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.