Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ca4a2f4577b40af153f7a744a985a09854504c6717ecde8b85856b5015a392e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brandon Nakashimaof Alex de Minaur, Brandon Nakashima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20f4…15e1backed Alex de Minaur | 72c | 46,949$33,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,953.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Alex de Minaur | 36c | 28,019$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 20,093$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,266.01 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Alex de Minaur | 61c | 14,767$9,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,002.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Brandon Nakashima | 36c | 14,358$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,150.98 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brandon Nakashima | 27c | 10,577$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,695.17 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alex de Minaur | 4c | 10,348$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Alex de Minaur | 58c | 9,857$5,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,753.31 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brandon Nakashima | 53c | 9,653$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,515.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex de Minaur | 15c | 7,630$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.8 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alex de Minaur | 71c | 7,464$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.04 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 51c | 7,060$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Brandon Nakashima | 55c | 6,118$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.82 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Alex de Minaur | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Alex de Minaur | 69c | 4,370$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex de Minaur | 70c | 4,009$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.01 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alex de Minaur | 72c | 3,911$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.15 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 3,889$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.12 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex de Minaur | 34c | 3,230$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 3,074$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.03 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.96 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Brandon Nakashima | 46c | 2,907$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.75 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex de Minaur | 41c | 2,868$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.96 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 2,742$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alex de Minaur | 71c | 2,653$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.73 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alex de Minaur | 35c | 2,329$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.57 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex de Minaur | 71c | 2,278$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.23 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 35c | 2,200$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 2,162$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.93 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Alex de Minaur | 63c | 2,154$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.86 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 2,092$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.09 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 2,088$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Alex de Minaur | 36c | 1,946$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Brandon Nakashima | 27c | 1,944$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.12 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 1,928$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.59 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…8bdbbacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 1,907$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Alex de Minaur | 17c | 1,858$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 1,717$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.55 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Alex de Minaur | 35c | 1,642$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.68 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alex de Minaur | 34c | 1,398$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Brandon Nakashima | 37c | 1,349$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.89 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Alex de Minaur | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Brandon Nakashima | 30c | 1,186$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.45 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 69c | 1,164$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Alex de Minaur | 35c | 1,127$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 1,114$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.6 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 30c | 1,095$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 1,020$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.1 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex de Minaur | 3c | 1,003$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Brandon Nakashima | 30c | 984.7$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.58 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 956.44$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.64 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 903.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 893$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Alex de Minaur | 43c | 816.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 801.31$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.93 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Brandon Nakashima | 30c | 793.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.77 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 783.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Alex de Minaur | 36c | 769.78$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.12 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alex de Minaur | 41c | 692.37$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 680$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.8 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Alex de Minaur | 49c | 620$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 600$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.69 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alex de Minaur | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alex de Minaur | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 561.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Alex de Minaur | 68c | 560.23$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.82 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 549.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 546.78$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex de Minaur | 28c | 531.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Brandon Nakashima | 30c | 511.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.23 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Alex de Minaur | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 493.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Alex de Minaur | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Alex de Minaur | 37c | 472.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 452.52$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brandon Nakashima | 33c | 450.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.34 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alex de Minaur | 6c | 449$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 447.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Alex de Minaur | 59c | 405.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Alex de Minaur | 67c | 402.36$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Brandon Nakashima | 31c | 401.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.87 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 400$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brandon Nakashima | 28c | 376.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.23 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Alex de Minaur | 10c | 357.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Brandon Nakashima | 47c | 356.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Brandon Nakashima | 55c | 348.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Alex de Minaur | 69c | 347.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 330$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Brandon Nakashima | 29c | 322.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.63 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Alex de Minaur | 63c | 317.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1829…35eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimathis page
- Minaur vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs NakashimaNakashima won
- Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs NakashimaNakashima won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)Nakashima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.