Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Colton Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9336d7a14a718717e0b06783d378e09ae0e3dd9871726b6d30b1303274e718a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuof Wu, Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Smith | 37c | 3,791$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wu | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Smith | 27c | 2,716$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wu | 74c | 1,887$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wu | 75c | 1,221$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Smith | 26c | 975$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wu | 76c | 821.6$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Smith | 17c | 704$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Smith | 36c | 685.7$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Smith | 27c | 683$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Smith | 25c | 656$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wu | 78c | 652.72$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Wu | 67c | 626.03$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Wu | 76c | 622$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Wu | 80c | 580$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Smith | 21c | 566.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Wu | 67c | 390.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Smith | 17c | 280.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Smith | 20c | 215$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wu | 75c | 211.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Smith | 22c | 183.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Wu | 60c | 175.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Wu | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Smith | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Wu | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Wu | 65c | 135.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Smith | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Wu | 74c | 121.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Smith | 23c | 109.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Wu | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Smith | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Smith | 32c | 98.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Smith | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Wu | 69c | 83.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Wu | 68c | 73.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Wu | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e88…27b4backed Wu | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Smith | 28c | 47.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Wu | 69c | 43.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Smith | 36c | 41.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Smith | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Smith | 34c | 31.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Wu | 69c | 29.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Wu | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Wu | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Wu | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Wu | 76c | 18.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Wu | 75c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Colton Smiththis page
- Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Smith (+1.5)Wu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.