CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11cb1936f3c57c5e8b81d9d4b20e08efdf5d74f22e9fc98b41110525eb688aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof TNC, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed UNiTY esports | 63c | 3,176$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.84 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed TNC | 38c | 871.56$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.39 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked TNC | 36c | 546.63$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.33 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed TNC | 37c | 520$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed UNiTY esports | 63c | 476.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 47c | 458.24$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed TNC | 37c | 351.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked UNiTY esports | 59c | 336.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked UNiTY esports | 4c | 307.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed TNC | 31c | 297.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.38 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked UNiTY esports | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 37c | 249.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TNC | 48c | 227.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 42c | 188.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TNC | 33c | 160$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 48c | 158$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TNC | 36c | 129.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed UNiTY esports | 51c | 108.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed UNiTY esports | 44c | 91.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…7813backed TNC | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed TNC | 37c | 83.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked TNC | 46c | 78.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed UNiTY esports | 58c | 69.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNiTY esports | 64c | 65.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked TNC | 37c | 59.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed UNiTY esports | 44c | 58.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…b81dbacked TNC | 36c | 57.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed TNC | 37c | 56.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked TNC | 53c | 54.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed UNiTY esports | 58c | 52.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked TNC | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed UNiTY esports | 64c | 47.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…3ebdbacked TNC | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…7c31backed UNiTY esports | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed TNC | 43c | 35.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed TNC | 37c | 34.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked UNiTY esports | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked TNC | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 30.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed UNiTY esports | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed UNiTY esports | 62c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed TNC | 52c | 23.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed UNiTY esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 19.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…cbc7backed UNiTY esports | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.