Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941f4e828558276c57a2f15ff9c949c7a011a25b1150aa3ccb791c4b50a65de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 54c | 9,120$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.99 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 53c | 3,175$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.09 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked Under | 46c | 1,579$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 46c | 1,175$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.54 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 52c | 1,064$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 46c | 901.2$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 47c | 817$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 45c | 798.41$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.82 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Under | 46c | 744.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.7 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 48c | 614.71$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Under | 46c | 592.57$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 47c | 591.82$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed Under | 46c | 577.59$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 56c | 539.29$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.29 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 47c | 480.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 47c | 480$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Under | 46c | 407.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 46c | 333$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 55c | 282.22$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Under | 46c | 246.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Under | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 56c | 163.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Under | 46c | 148.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed Under | 46c | 119.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 46c | 116.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…35f7backed Under | 47c | 110.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 48c | 106.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 47c | 76.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 56.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked Under | 47c | 43.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 55c | 38.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 56c | 23.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…f131backed Over | 55c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 3 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.