Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea789a26c73d42a951fa044cfedba3acb4ea4a6588cf30d0f3a15842a568efa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof LOS, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked LOS | 51c | 9,820$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.49 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Fluxo W7M | 49c | 4,535$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.85 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 2,583$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.26 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 2,102$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.94 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed LOS | 51c | 1,886$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.69 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 619$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 527.24$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…3668backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 383.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 304.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked LOS | 52c | 202.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…7acabacked LOS | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 143.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Fluxo W7M | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked LOS | 52c | 95.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 79.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked LOS | 49c | 60.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Fluxo W7M | 54c | 52.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed LOS | 46c | 52.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…330fbacked Fluxo W7M | 49c | 46.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LOS | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 26.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed LOS | 52c | 23.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked LOS | 51c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 3 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.