Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x020befc157ad487971adb08caf431d883d8db6d4e65eee95e8c2afbd3c59cd9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof LOS, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 1,968$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOS | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LOS | 68c | 965.38$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.97 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed LOS | 76c | 833.33$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 599.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed LOS | 78c | 581.97$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.03 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Fluxo W7M | 47c | 542.05$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 308 | 56.5%174 W · 134 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LOS | 68c | 512.85$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Fluxo W7M | 24c | 410.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked LOS | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed LOS | 72c | 399.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LOS | 58c | 372.88$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 368.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked LOS | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Fluxo W7M | 28c | 334.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed LOS | 60c | 331.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked LOS | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed LOS | 75c | 266$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked LOS | 77c | 261.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Fluxo W7M | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Fluxo W7M | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Fluxo W7M | 42c | 236.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Fluxo W7M | 47c | 233.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Fluxo W7M | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 168.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed Fluxo W7M | 47c | 166.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed LOS | 58c | 161.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…2385backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 160.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Fluxo W7M | 22c | 157.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed LOS | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed LOS | 53c | 142.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 124.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked LOS | 60c | 118.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed LOS | 79c | 118.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 110.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOS | 68c | 94.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed LOS | 58c | 88.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOS | 70c | 82.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOS | 76c | 70.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed LOS | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked LOS | 64c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed LOS | 72c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 522 | 52.5%274 W · 248 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed LOS | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 3 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.