Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda1279d7e31f39b3c359d90e997483a1a9c58cae94ac172b8391bb85bbec47b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof LOS, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed LOS | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 1,336$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.17 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LOS | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOS | 14c | 690.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 600$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed LOS | 61c | 593.33$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed LOS | 16c | 561.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked LOS | 60c | 400$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.78 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 293.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LOS | 17c | 273$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed LOS | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LOS | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…3a99backed LOS | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 33%132 W · 268 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M | 53c | 219.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked LOS | 21c | 202.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed LOS | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOS | 49c | 183.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 172.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 171.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Fluxo W7M | 61c | 164.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…08d6backed LOS | 22c | 100.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…d156backed LOS | 63c | 83.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked LOS | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOS | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…ac7bbacked Fluxo W7M | 67c | 49.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Fluxo W7M | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 33.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Fluxo W7M | 45c | 25.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed LOS | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.