Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc2975e570c985b1b14a7f4c284f26cc1f8307b578a5ca3a2920184c636d681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 59c | 12,711$7,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,477.18 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Under | 41c | 3,835$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.39 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Under | 41c | 1,817$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 41c | 1,271$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.73 | 215 | 40%86 W · 129 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 58c | 1,040$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.83 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Under | 41c | 949$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 41c | 565.85$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 41c | 553.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.85 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 41c | 524$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.16 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 41c | 523.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.04 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Under | 41c | 477.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.7 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 41c | 399.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Under | 41c | 385.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…12a2backed Under | 41c | 352.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 41c | 253.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Under | 41c | 244.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 41c | 219.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 41c | 183.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 42c | 130.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Under | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 46c | 73.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 41c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked Under | 41c | 41.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked Under | 41c | 36.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.