Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cca71f9f9abc06da51e885045cc63837a0b4cdb6e981ed08d7da980a1b9dfd2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Over	34c	15,114$5,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,044.79	1,490	54.6%813 W · 677 L	+36.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Over	34c	7,500$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,949.97	1,482	50%741 W · 741 L	+65.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	34c	5,367$1,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,527.9	1,206	43.5%525 W · 681 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Over	34c	4,975$1,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,283.53	1,132	52.5%594 W · 538 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Under	66c	3,433$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.03	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	66c	3,155$2,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,069.28	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under	66c	3,004$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.62	642	43%276 W · 366 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under	67c	2,985$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-11.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under	66c	2,832$1,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,869.12	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Under	66c	2,726$1,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Under	66c	2,568$1,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,695	238	32.4%77 W · 161 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Under	66c	2,427$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,593.5	214	40.2%86 W · 128 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under	67c	1,279$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.75	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.5wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-35%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under	66c	1,247$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.06	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under	65c	1,224$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.63	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over	35c	1,152$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.05	444	51.8%230 W · 214 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd98…6178backed Under	66c	911.49$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.58	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-5.1wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under	67c	891.99$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.63	525	38.9%204 W · 321 L	+18.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Under	66c	827$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.27	129	41.1%53 W · 76 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over	35c	594.76$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.58	2,152	53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L	+58.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under	66c	524.99$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.49	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	66c	519$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.54	2,187	33.3%729 W · 1,458 L	-71.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under	67c	462.69$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over	34c	456.55$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.32	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Under	66c	434.95$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.07	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Under	67c	433.08$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.16	148	50.7%75 W · 73 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0d…a507backed Under	66c	415.15$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	+116.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under	66c	415.15$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	168	42.9%72 W · 96 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Under	67c	405.42$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.63	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over	34c	357.28$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.8	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Under	66c	356.06$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	197	52.8%104 W · 93 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under	54c	347.98$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.09	2,222	37.4%832 W · 1,390 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Under	66c	343.5$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.71	164	52.4%86 W · 78 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd5…12a2backed Under	66c	311.96$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.89	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over	34c	300$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	123	47.2%58 W · 65 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Under	66c	269.02$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.55	247	35.2%87 W · 160 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under	65c	247.98$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.19	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	48c	205.01$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.76	1,061	54.7%580 W · 481 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	65c	197$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.6	608	49.5%301 W · 307 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Under	67c	189.55$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Over	35c	174.76$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.59	375	48%180 W · 195 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over	23c	150$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.5	238	31.5%75 W · 163 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	77c	145$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.65	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Under	67c	135$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.45	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under	66c	122.79$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.04	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Over	52c	103.15$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.61	398	59.8%238 W · 160 L	+31.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd65…304fbacked Under	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.58	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-75%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under	65c	90.77$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	176	50%88 W · 88 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	66c	76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	110	48.2%53 W · 57 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	256	40.6%104 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Under	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Under	66c	73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.18	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	66c	69.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.49	348	34.2%119 W · 229 L	-39.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Over	36c	69.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Over	38c	66.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.19	476	30.7%146 W · 330 L	-13.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd572…5510backed Under	67c	60.59$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed Under	67c	60.59$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	66c	60$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	626	49.8%312 W · 314 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.14	133	48.9%65 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over	35c	51.63$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.56	320	53.8%172 W · 148 L	+21.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Over	34c	50.34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.2	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56da…449ebacked Under	66c	49.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.72	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under	66c	48.5$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	181	48.6%88 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under	67c	44.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over	35c	37.4$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.31	1,576	48.4%763 W · 813 L	+17.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0735…fe34backed Under	74c	34.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	68c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	1,952	30.6%597 W · 1,355 L	-166.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x849e…8b55backed Over	35c	30$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2062…a44bbacked Under	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	65c	27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	157	48.4%76 W · 81 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under	67c	18.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Under	66c	15.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)VfB eSports won
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 1 WinnerVfB eSports won
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 2 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event