Lol · resolved market
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8de44bb06b9ef4882e2eaf6232b0ddc648e57cce68ef55f73a97e7900dbdf6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, VfB eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed VfB eSports | 21c | 7,328$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.85 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 5,592$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.03 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 5,068$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.24 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked VfB eSports | 9c | 2,922$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 2,672$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.21 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked VfB eSports | 19c | 2,063$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.9 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 1,531$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 1,500$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed VfB eSports | 21c | 1,221$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VfB eSports | 13c | 1,115$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 1,073$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed VfB eSports | 4c | 1,050$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed VfB eSports | 10c | 927.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed VfB eSports | 19c | 844.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 793.48$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 749.37$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed VfB eSports | 3c | 720$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed VfB eSports | 20c | 647.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked VfB eSports | 24c | 641.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 568.86$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked VfB eSports | 21c | 550$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 514.79$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed VfB eSports | 20c | 495.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked VfB eSports | 22c | 450.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 421.78$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked VfB eSports | 8c | 309$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed VfB eSports | 22c | 294.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 204$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed VfB eSports | 21c | 146.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VfB eSports | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VfB eSports | 12c | 136.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed VfB eSports | 21c | 116.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 108.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked VfB eSports | 15c | 80.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed VfB eSports | 23c | 65.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed VfB eSports | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 51.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked VfB eSports | 21c | 47.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…fd33backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 35.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…1cbbbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 16.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 15.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)VfB eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 1 WinnerVfB eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.