Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4653deaf8174903b566b91db325c754ffe31752ecc357388b87bbe1822db6348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VfB eSportsof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, VfB eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed VfB eSports | 36c | 8,966$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.34 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked VfB eSports | 36c | 6,035$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.5 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 3,120$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.72 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 2,561$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.17 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 1,607$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.74 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 1,516$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.4 | 420 | 42.4%178 W · 242 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 1,307$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.55 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 1,032$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed VfB eSports | 38c | 904.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.9 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 890.92$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.28 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 764.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed VfB eSports | 37c | 707.48$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.69 | 499 | 47.1%235 W · 264 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 536.87$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 517.19$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 664 | 59.8%397 W · 267 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed VfB eSports | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 62c | 410.89$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 310.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked VfB eSports | 41c | 243.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed VfB eSports | 37c | 128.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 109.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed VfB eSports | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 62c | 89.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked VfB eSports | 37c | 49.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked VfB eSports | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed VfB eSports | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 23.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 18.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 1 WinnerVfB eSports won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 2 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.