Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456322ab80716b68b56bbfd4bf8c648a8cc0b697162a13198c985411e8fc9594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $982,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,184,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $982,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 117,956$68,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,155.65 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 66,752$34,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,243.34 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 65,162$41,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,326.33 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 38,706$15,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,462.28 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 29,291$18,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,185.72 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 20,333$8,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.82 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 20,025$7,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,409.15 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Team Falcons | 35c | 20,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,099.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons | 36c | 19,995$7,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,796.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 19,075$8,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,746.16 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 15,126$9,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,181.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 14,541$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,108.13 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 13,863$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,332.84 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed Team Falcons | 57c | 13,373$7,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,733.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Falcons | 37c | 13,212$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,323.81 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f6…6062backed Team Falcons | 39c | 9,965$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,078.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 9,820$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.3 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 9,394$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.36 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Team Falcons | 37c | 9,308$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 9,187$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.85 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 8,908$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.29 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 8,778$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 8,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 7,447$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.04 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 7,324$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.6 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 7,222$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.97 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 6,732$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.91 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 41c | 6,521$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.6 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 6,147$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 37c | 6,146$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.98 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 5,957$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.72 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 5,892$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 75c | 5,663$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.47 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 5,403$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 5,128$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…fc0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 5,125$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 5,088$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 4,920$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.65 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…ba94backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 4,841$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 4,677$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.23 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 4,441$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.45 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…ffaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 4,400$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 4,281$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.48 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 48c | 4,170$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.04 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Team Falcons | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Falcons | 37c | 4,141$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.81 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 4,091$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.67 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…71b7backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 4,025$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Team Falcons | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 3,998$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.08 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,916$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.74 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 3,616$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.09 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 3,559$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.45 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 3,481$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.74 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Team Falcons | 36c | 3,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 38c | 3,281$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.57 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 3,264$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.09 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Falcons | 35c | 3,260$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.33 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 3,070$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.98 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 2,899$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 2,785$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.44 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.97 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 2,641$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.46 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 2,603$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.6 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 2,513$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.72 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,504$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.18 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,409$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.75 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,360$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 2,253$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a4…ebc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…f485backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,201$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,191$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.36 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,101$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,039$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.11 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,007$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…92efbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,949$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,947$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.26 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,787$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.08 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,750$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,712$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.21 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,692$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,687$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,675$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,671$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.65 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,660$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…e59abacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,655$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,645$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.35 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,616$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.1 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,610$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,500$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.15 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Team Falcons | 31c | 1,500$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.32 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…e18fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,370$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…5e7abacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,324$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.