Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0edb28056afab6a44b5c3c80085c49d65b661888bd5a0edc3559a82f74e7f0d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 34,513$13,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,869.01 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 45c | 10,053$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.87 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 9,749$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 8,672$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.32 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 7,396$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.21 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Team Falcons | 54c | 7,042$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 5,037$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.29 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 4,619$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.12 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,701$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.52 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 40c | 3,395$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 2,986$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 2,810$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.88 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,780$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.62 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,468$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.2 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 2,322$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,286$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.64 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,264$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.74 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 2,074$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.23 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,478$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 18c | 1,478$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,372$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.83 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,335$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.52 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 3c | 1,238$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,233$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.1 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,093$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.48 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,087$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.67 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,081$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.24 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,075$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.72 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,060$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.59 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Team Falcons | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 974.58$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 954$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.18 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 947.53$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Falcons | 44c | 936.97$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.55 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 841.13$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed Team Falcons | 40c | 834.35$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 780.84$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.94 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 723.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.83 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 660.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.01 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons | 43c | 660.32$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 650$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked Team Falcons | 5c | 643.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 608.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Team Falcons | 42c | 605.74$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Falcons | 38c | 577.33$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 573.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.68 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Falcons | 9c | 569.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 551.45$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 37c | 533.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 528.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.26 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 526.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Team Falcons | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 488.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Team Falcons | 21c | 472.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 445.42$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Team Falcons | 71c | 437.4$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Falcons | 44c | 410$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Falcons | 27c | 399.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Falcons | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 363.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 48c | 342.79$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 328.92$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Falcons | 27c | 316.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Falcons | 5c | 270.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 267.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 236.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 229.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 221.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked Team Falcons | 10c | 200.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…d52fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Team Falcons | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 199.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 193.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 175.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Team Falcons | 20c | 169.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Team Falcons | 11c | 164.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 163.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 156.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…38f0backed Team Falcons | 8c | 156.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Falcons won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.