Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs RIZON (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06882105875bdcc78194c088f4ecd8450025f5e410308188155fb6768681567a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof CGN Esports, RIZON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed RIZON | 54c | 12,973$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,941.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked RIZON | 53c | 4,079$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.49 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed CGN Esports | 47c | 3,655$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.17 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed CGN Esports | 46c | 3,007$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked CGN Esports | 47c | 2,730$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.1 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked CGN Esports | 46c | 2,350$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed RIZON | 49c | 2,339$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked CGN Esports | 51c | 2,016$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.84 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed CGN Esports | 47c | 1,042$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed CGN Esports | 48c | 861.55$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed CGN Esports | 46c | 787.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed RIZON | 54c | 434$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed CGN Esports | 46c | 423.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked CGN Esports | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CGN Esports | 46c | 353.68$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 326 | 42%137 W · 189 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed RIZON | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked CGN Esports | 48c | 219.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda15…bc9abacked CGN Esports | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed CGN Esports | 46c | 213.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked CGN Esports | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed CGN Esports | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed RIZON | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed CGN Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked CGN Esports | 46c | 188.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked RIZON | 54c | 185.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CGN Esports | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked CGN Esports | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed CGN Esports | 48c | 159$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed CGN Esports | 48c | 158.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked CGN Esports | 48c | 146.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed CGN Esports | 48c | 146.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed CGN Esports | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked CGN Esports | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed CGN Esports | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…774abacked CGN Esports | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed CGN Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed RIZON | 55c | 76.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed RIZON | 53c | 76.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…bc4ebacked CGN Esports | 46c | 75.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CGN Esports | 51c | 62.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 651 | 47.5%309 W · 342 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed RIZON | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked CGN Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked CGN Esports | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed RIZON | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 277 | 45.5%126 W · 151 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked RIZON | 55c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked CGN Esports | 51c | 35.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs RIZON (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution PlayoffsCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.