Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45871ec523ce25a1198aa8c999826a4ca4b766598d17a6e6f9abb34d1e87528f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof CGN Esports, RIZON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked RIZON | 19c | 9,994$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.84 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed RIZON | 22c | 781.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RIZON | 3c | 556.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked RIZON | 20c | 487.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RIZON | 19c | 336$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RIZON | 21c | 292.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed CGN Esports | 78c | 275$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed RIZON | 20c | 258.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed RIZON | 9c | 205.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked RIZON | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RIZON | 12c | 188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed RIZON | 19c | 140.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed CGN Esports | 78c | 102.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed RIZON | 20c | 101.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked RIZON | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed CGN Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed RIZON | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed CGN Esports | 78c | 74.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 191 | 40.3%77 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed RIZON | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked RIZON | 21c | 62.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed CGN Esports | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked CGN Esports | 74c | 41.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…6a21backed RIZON | 26c | 38.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CGN Esports | 77c | 29.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked CGN Esports | 79c | 27.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked CGN Esports | 73c | 22.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked CGN Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked CGN Esports | 76c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked CGN Esports | 76c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked CGN Esports | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: CGN (-1.5) vs RIZON (+1.5)CGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.