TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa35e…4a6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4269%29 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38%+$47.11
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29%+$9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.04
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$68.71
LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$59.85
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$10.06
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.02
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$41.23
LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$18.29
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.08
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$19.19
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$34.27
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$13.36
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$13.61
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$26.14
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$5.83
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$9.51
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$7.97
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+45%+$17.28
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
LoL: Dark Passage vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.03
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.54
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$21.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$31.16
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$10.62
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$33.02
Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$36.13
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Bonk (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$14.9
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$14.9
Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.85
All 7 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$24.23
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$8.49
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$11.17
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.16
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$22.2
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.19
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.