Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e035d54d138c081a51c319d041bc14d450758c79c80232b54ee6d093ad50c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Conviction, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Winthrop University | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Conviction | 66c | 722.79$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.95 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University | 44c | 591.79$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.73 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Conviction | 2c | 528.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Conviction | 60c | 358.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Winthrop University | 19c | 349.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Winthrop University | 36c | 305.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Winthrop University | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Winthrop University | 29c | 273.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Conviction | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Conviction | 76c | 155.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Winthrop University | 42c | 130.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…b0dabacked Winthrop University | 16c | 116.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Winthrop University | 48c | 101.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Winthrop University | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 16cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Conviction | 48c | 83.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Conviction | 43c | 82.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Winthrop University | 13c | 75.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Winthrop University | 45c | 75.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Winthrop University | 43c | 69.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Winthrop University | 42c | 69.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Winthrop University | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Conviction | 57c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 172 | 62.2%107 W · 65 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Conviction | 69c | 45.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…169ebacked Winthrop University | 64c | 42.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked Conviction | 78c | 39.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Winthrop University | 55c | 33.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Conviction | 55c | 31.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Conviction | 41c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Conviction | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Conviction | 79c | 21.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Conviction | 55c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.