CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1baee32c25c4fe0e30517e4155e89d9900ad2ddc930b5be812d3c9f2d36c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crashers | 19c | 1,533$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Crashers | 23c | 1,462$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Crashers | 20c | 1,239$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Crashers | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Crashers | 19c | 948.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Crashers | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Keyd | 75c | 450.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Crashers | 12c | 397.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Crashers | 20c | 370.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Crashers | 13c | 361.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Crashers | 19c | 287.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Crashers | 14c | 273.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Crashers | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 77c | 247.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Crashers | 18c | 202.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Keyd | 74c | 195.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Crashers | 22c | 190.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Keyd | 76c | 162.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Crashers | 23c | 157.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Crashers | 26c | 152.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Crashers | 31c | 148.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Crashers | 21c | 106.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Keyd | 78c | 102.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Crashers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Crashers | 19c | 98.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…548fbacked Keyd | 75c | 96.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Crashers | 13c | 96.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crashers | 23c | 92.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…9e76backed Crashers | 26c | 84.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Crashers | 26c | 84.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 80c | 83.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked Crashers | 26c | 81.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Crashers | 25c | 79.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Crashers | 31c | 73.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 73c | 73.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Keyd | 78c | 73.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Keyd | 65c | 68.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Crashers | 17c | 67.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked Keyd | 66c | 65.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Crashers | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Crashers | 22c | 61.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Keyd | 74c | 54.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Keyd | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Crashers | 41c | 49.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Crashers | 32c | 46.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Keyd | 80c | 46.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed Crashers | 27c | 39.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Keyd | 75c | 31.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Keyd | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Keyd | 64c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Keyd | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…f15abacked Keyd | 70c | 27.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Keyd | 65c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Keyd | 62c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…5eb2backed Keyd | 78c | 20.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Keyd | 78c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 73c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…4fa1backed Keyd | 79c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Keyd | 78c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…4679backed Keyd | 77c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerCrashers won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Crashers (+1.5)Crashers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.