Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29dec84e971bf730dabb6789aa8f1f936a78e6448270f6884e25d63a73423149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof Mandatory, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked F9 EICAR | 44c | 1,967$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.57 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Mandatory | 45c | 1,653$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.97 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mandatory | 58c | 1,335$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.47 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked F9 EICAR | 30c | 1,094$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.52 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…615bbacked Mandatory | 70c | 1,090$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked F9 EICAR | 13c | 518.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…4944backed Mandatory | 79c | 518.34$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed F9 EICAR | 24c | 493.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked F9 EICAR | 11c | 450$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mandatory | 60c | 384.68$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed F9 EICAR | 58c | 379.74$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked F9 EICAR | 72c | 353.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Mandatory | 62c | 291.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked F9 EICAR | 36c | 273$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed F9 EICAR | 58c | 222.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked F9 EICAR | 57c | 189.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Mandatory | 55c | 171.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed F9 EICAR | 63c | 158.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F9 EICAR | 59c | 124.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked F9 EICAR | 35c | 123.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Mandatory | 64c | 122$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked F9 EICAR | 33c | 113$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed F9 EICAR | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked F9 EICAR | 57c | 107.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed F9 EICAR | 26c | 107.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed F9 EICAR | 56c | 103.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed F9 EICAR | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed F9 EICAR | 36c | 102.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked F9 EICAR | 16c | 100.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…2aeabacked F9 EICAR | 18c | 95.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed F9 EICAR | 27c | 95.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked Mandatory | 61c | 92.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed F9 EICAR | 28c | 85.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…5ec9backed Mandatory | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…cb07backed F9 EICAR | 13c | 83.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed F9 EICAR | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed F9 EICAR | 63c | 71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked Mandatory | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked F9 EICAR | 22c | 67.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed F9 EICAR | 40c | 63.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked F9 EICAR | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked F9 EICAR | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed F9 EICAR | 32c | 53.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Mandatory | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed F9 EICAR | 28c | 51.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Mandatory | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…8e32backed Mandatory | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Mandatory | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked F9 EICAR | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Mandatory | 47c | 33.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Mandatory | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed F9 EICAR | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Mandatory | 61c | 26.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…ea9dbacked F9 EICAR | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed F9 EICAR | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…294abacked Mandatory | 78c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerF9 EICAR won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerMandatory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.