Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6797d7ee13b12fcc2086b73b68c4fde7c3d75cc4baeb6f923142fd8ea84436a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F9 EICARof Mandatory, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Mandatory | 33c | 376.1$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed F9 EICAR | 24c | 130.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mandatory | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Mandatory | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mandatory | 29c | 57.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mandatory | 76c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…0511backed F9 EICAR | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Mandatory | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked F9 EICAR | 50c | 34.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Mandatory | 50c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed F9 EICAR | 79c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 PlayoffsMandatory won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerMandatory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.