Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8c47d578872f0ff371fc0340d0a9b06935f5765a7a51674b82df408a507054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof Mandatory, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bc…decabacked F9 EICAR | 23c | 4,646$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.79 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Mandatory | 79c | 2,226$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.97 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Mandatory | 78c | 1,683$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Mandatory | 79c | 1,268$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.32 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mandatory | 78c | 975.35$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Mandatory | 75c | 751.73$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked F9 EICAR | 19c | 719.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked F9 EICAR | 15c | 604.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Mandatory | 79c | 592.32$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed F9 EICAR | 22c | 487.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked F9 EICAR | 20c | 479.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed F9 EICAR | 16c | 455.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed F9 EICAR | 18c | 437.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed F9 EICAR | 21c | 428.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed F9 EICAR | 19c | 398.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed F9 EICAR | 22c | 320$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked F9 EICAR | 14c | 294.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked F9 EICAR | 9c | 283.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked F9 EICAR | 14c | 261.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed F9 EICAR | 14c | 252.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Mandatory | 79c | 249.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Mandatory | 80c | 217.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked F9 EICAR | 21c | 209.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed F9 EICAR | 5c | 205.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed F9 EICAR | 16c | 196.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed F9 EICAR | 20c | 138.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed F9 EICAR | 22c | 114.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mandatory | 76c | 110.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked F9 EICAR | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked F9 EICAR | 10c | 104.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked F9 EICAR | 19c | 96.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked F9 EICAR | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked F9 EICAR | 17c | 68.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mandatory | 79c | 65.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4ff9backed Mandatory | 70c | 49.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Mandatory | 71c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked Mandatory | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Mandatory | 78c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerMandatory won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerF9 EICAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.