TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
F9 EICARof Mandatory, F9 EICAR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf99e…4d03backed Mandatory1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Mandatory1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked F9 EICAR50c4,145$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.7219248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Mandatory1c4,036$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Mandatory2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Mandatory2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36521.9%1 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Mandatory2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3274…4493backed Mandatory1c1,986$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mandatory55c1,815$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.161,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Mandatory2c1,300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked Mandatory9c1,110$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Mandatory1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Mandatory36c941.14$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3930147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed F9 EICAR53c860.33$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1121558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Mandatory1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Mandatory38c782.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mandatory73c661.34$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mandatory58c578.13$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.81,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mandatory44c532.79$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6545033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Mandatory58c426.62$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Mandatory7c356.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Mandatory12c354$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0314436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Mandatory4c351.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.039438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mandatory47c321.18$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.561,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Mandatory12c253$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2412633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed F9 EICAR61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Mandatory34c232.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0935331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked F9 EICAR59c203.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0368949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Mandatory12c203$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4615839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Mandatory48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9323644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked F9 EICAR41c160.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7521048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked F9 EICAR50c128.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6516842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed F9 EICAR62c118.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.575752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed F9 EICAR64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked F9 EICAR64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Mandatory60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Mandatory43c97.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0130828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Mandatory66c83.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.433542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Mandatory59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.771573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+57.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed F9 EICAR39c79.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.221,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Mandatory58c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Mandatory59c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6726436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mandatory35c36.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Mandatory57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed F9 EICAR50c28.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9822542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Mandatory53c20.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7419661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Mandatory66c15.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.