Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb61865da4668427b50e5ddc1dd619360f03f2b8dceb1c63c70236a3a337d3f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof Dark Passage, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd975…8c73backed Dark Passage | 55c | 1,427$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +175%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Phoenix | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Team Phoenix | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Phoenix | 45c | 915.7$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 593.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Dark Passage | 72c | 359$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Phoenix | 29c | 219.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Dark Passage | 79c | 164.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Phoenix | 24c | 154.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…69a9backed Dark Passage | 68c | 146.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Team Phoenix | 36c | 137.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 133.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 127.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…2c38backed Dark Passage | 76c | 126.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Phoenix | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Dark Passage | 76c | 117.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed Team Phoenix | 13c | 111.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Team Phoenix | 38c | 101.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Team Phoenix | 22c | 97.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Team Phoenix | 15c | 97.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Phoenix | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Dark Passage | 78c | 72.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Phoenix | 35c | 71.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Team Phoenix | 22c | 68.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…e923backed Dark Passage | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Phoenix | 24c | 65.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked Dark Passage | 69c | 62.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dark Passage | 76c | 48.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dark Passage | 77c | 40.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Dark Passage | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Dark Passage | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)Team Phoenix won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.