Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90494add557603fbc83cc311aff57080a6a56f2705c18040c20452f0704fa4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof Dark Passage, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Phoenix | 35c | 1,121$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.99 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Team Phoenix | 37c | 1,047$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.64 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Dark Passage | 62c | 696.35$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.51 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dark Passage | 42c | 522.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dark Passage | 64c | 466.72$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.91 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Phoenix | 71c | 368.92$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dark Passage | 69c | 186.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Dark Passage | 62c | 158$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Dark Passage | 65c | 150.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Dark Passage | 66c | 133.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Dark Passage | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dark Passage | 69c | 93.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Dark Passage | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DP (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)Team Phoenix won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonDark Passage won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.