Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ff71da5c7e84d473ffa8a0292d02e96c91a37f43e05bcd7dadd274658bb6a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x164d…bdb3backed REKONIX | 10c | 10,316$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed REKONIX | 35c | 8,966$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.71 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 5,027$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.51 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 3,020$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.7 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 2,568$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.18 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 27c | 2,391$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 2,258$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.62 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed REKONIX | 24c | 2,217$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.13 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked REKONIX | 32c | 2,100$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.31 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 26c | 1,496$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.23 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,449$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 25c | 1,433$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.19 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed REKONIX | 30c | 1,385$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,343$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.11 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,319$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,152$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.06 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed REKONIX | 36c | 1,056$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,031$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6407backed REKONIX | 60c | 996.79$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 994.28$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.94 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed REKONIX | 32c | 930.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 878.45$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed REKONIX | 30c | 598.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 549.29$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 519$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 501.09$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 499.92$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 484.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 457.14$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed REKONIX | 46c | 431.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 429.72$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 27c | 420.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked REKONIX | 28c | 407.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 400$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 374$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed REKONIX | 21c | 348.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 38c | 340$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…7025backed REKONIX | 35c | 330$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…6ff9backed REKONIX | 36c | 325.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 316$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 308$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked REKONIX | 24c | 302$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed REKONIX | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…7c8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 279.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 278.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 272.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed REKONIX | 19c | 269.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 258.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 244.75$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…7b60backed REKONIX | 26c | 233.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 211.49$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 23c | 210.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 202.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 198.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 197.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 186$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed REKONIX | 36c | 182.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 177.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed REKONIX | 27c | 168.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 26c | 166.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 162.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed REKONIX | 27c | 160.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed REKONIX | 24c | 158.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 148$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 147.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked REKONIX | 28c | 138.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 129$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 25c | 128.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed REKONIX | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 117$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 107.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked REKONIX | 29c | 105.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed REKONIX | 29c | 103.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed REKONIX | 28c | 102.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 100.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…4a6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 99.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 99.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 98.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 95.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3274…06e1backed REKONIX | 35c | 94.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 87.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 86.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed REKONIX | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed REKONIX | 28c | 84.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.