Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe512f45739bb43efc0f5cded2d5cc9562bc386111fd1fba3d3215125b32508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed REKONIX | 44c | 19,839$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.95 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 10,100$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.6 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 6,964$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.63 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,389$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.87 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX | 40c | 4,900$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 4,828$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 3,533$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.78 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 3,016$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.81 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,132$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.02 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed REKONIX | 41c | 2,014$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.91 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 51c | 1,942$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.37 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 42c | 1,730$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.97 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed REKONIX | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,541$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.59 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,400$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 38c | 1,325$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,283$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.74 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 32c | 1,106$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 43c | 1,030$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.21 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 996$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 966.17$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 40c | 956.78$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.18 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 799.98$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked REKONIX | 50c | 781.84$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.06 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…21b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 775$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 39c | 765.63$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 753.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked REKONIX | 40c | 730.36$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked REKONIX | 40c | 642$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…2735backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 614.71$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 612$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.42 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 566$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 41c | 550$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 35c | 480.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 53c | 462.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 437.1$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed REKONIX | 40c | 399$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked REKONIX | 48c | 392.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed REKONIX | 46c | 373.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 354.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 333.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed REKONIX | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed REKONIX | 55c | 244.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed REKONIX | 40c | 236.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed REKONIX | 55c | 230.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 229$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 221.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 201.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked REKONIX | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 194$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 176.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 41c | 174.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked REKONIX | 41c | 170.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 169.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 169.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 34c | 159.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 158.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 158$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed REKONIX | 71c | 156.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 35c | 155$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 154$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 149$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 144.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 143.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 57c | 139.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 41c | 137.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed REKONIX | 21c | 133.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 24c | 112.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 43c | 110.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked REKONIX | 30c | 107.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 103.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 100.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed REKONIX | 52c | 99.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 97.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 89.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed REKONIX | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 72.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed REKONIX | 43c | 70.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 43c | 62.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 61.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked REKONIX | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked REKONIX | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…a5cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 38.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.