Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6217a042dae33c9b1f69ed0cdc6867411fe38601fd67f63ccdabe40a2f516a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 11,380$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.19 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX | 41c | 7,750$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.37 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 4,131$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.14 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,000$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.23 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed REKONIX | 43c | 2,779$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.63 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,199$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.24 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 79c | 2,146$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.31 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,903$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.45 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked REKONIX | 68c | 1,735$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.56 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 42c | 1,638$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.16 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,611$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.36 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked REKONIX | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,477$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.35 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,259$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.94 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 49c | 1,198$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.23 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 45c | 1,188$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed REKONIX | 43c | 1,107$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 53c | 1,071$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.45 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 51c | 1,053$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.67 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked REKONIX | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 920.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.62 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed REKONIX | 77c | 782.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed REKONIX | 52c | 773.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed REKONIX | 43c | 694.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…2735backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 685$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 34c | 615.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX | 42c | 485.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 32c | 470.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 443.11$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 45c | 412.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed REKONIX | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 45c | 385.65$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 322.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.55 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked REKONIX | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed REKONIX | 44c | 278.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 274.37$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed REKONIX | 66c | 249.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 41c | 241.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 241.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 46c | 237.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 234.83$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 229.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed REKONIX | 6c | 219.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked REKONIX | 22c | 200.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed REKONIX | 11c | 199.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed REKONIX | 50c | 198.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked REKONIX | 11c | 197.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 187$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 182.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked REKONIX | 17c | 175.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 171$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 155.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 40c | 150.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 146$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 144.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 143.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 138.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 131.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed REKONIX | 26c | 122.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed REKONIX | 17c | 101.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed REKONIX | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2593…f798backed REKONIX | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 90.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…6ff9backed REKONIX | 44c | 88.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 87.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 52c | 84.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed REKONIX | 37c | 80.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked REKONIX | 26c | 78.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…24cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked REKONIX | 80c | 62.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed REKONIX | 40c | 60.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed REKONIX | 31c | 58.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed REKONIX | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked REKONIX | 32c | 54.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 45c | 50.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed REKONIX | 44c | 49.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 32c | 48.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked REKONIX | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked REKONIX | 60c | 43.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 32.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked REKONIX | 40c | 28.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.