CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x392bd02215a323be1e09fa67b8d33cfad5620aed72cf3eccf18a4c320398d378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof BIG Academy, ReThink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa530…88f6backed ReThink | 1c | 4,491$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ReThink | 22c | 2,949$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.91 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed BIG Academy | 53c | 1,745$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.4 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ReThink | 24c | 1,714$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…4d14backed BIG Academy | 62c | 1,537$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG Academy | 68c | 991.87$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ReThink | 30c | 950.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.17 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ReThink | 42c | 575$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ReThink | 49c | 390.25$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked ReThink | 20c | 358.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ReThink | 45c | 344.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ReThink | 34c | 314.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked ReThink | 20c | 270.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ReThink | 50c | 250.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ReThink | 20c | 229.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ReThink | 39c | 211.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked BIG Academy | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked ReThink | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BIG Academy | 54c | 155.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ReThink | 26c | 142.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ReThink | 22c | 117.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ReThink | 36c | 115$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked ReThink | 19c | 113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed ReThink | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked ReThink | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked ReThink | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed ReThink | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ReThink | 18c | 98.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked BIG Academy | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ReThink | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ReThink | 20c | 77.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG Academy | 79c | 73.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed ReThink | 21c | 70.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ReThink | 27c | 57.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BIG Academy | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ReThink | 49c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed ReThink | 52c | 45.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked BIG Academy | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked BIG Academy | 42c | 36.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…a01ebacked BIG Academy | 58c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ReThink | 49c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed BIG Academy | 80c | 26.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…fcf0backed BIG Academy | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed ReThink | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked BIG Academy | 79c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink - Map 1 WinnerReThink won
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink - Map 2 WinnerBIG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.