CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa47f0af0d3fc306f1bb748a2ebfe10e2b56df540744b318f27dd0ec518d322c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof HyperSpirit, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HyperSpirit | 54c | 555.9$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 39c | 548.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked MANA eSports | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…52f0backed HyperSpirit | 70c | 448.88$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HyperSpirit | 16c | 400.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked MANA eSports | 46c | 279.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…3d2bbacked MANA eSports | 11c | 263$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked HyperSpirit | 80c | 250.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HyperSpirit | 53c | 231.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked MANA eSports | 24c | 227.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 20c | 213.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 164.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed HyperSpirit | 61c | 147$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…9408backed MANA eSports | 44c | 110.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HyperSpirit | 65c | 108.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed HyperSpirit | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed MANA eSports | 55c | 91.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MANA eSports | 38c | 91.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MANA eSports | 15c | 68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed HyperSpirit | 80c | 66.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 59.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked HyperSpirit | 49c | 54.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HyperSpirit | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed MANA eSports | 39c | 43.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked HyperSpirit | 68c | 19.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…3bcabacked HyperSpirit | 74c | 17.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group CMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.