CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b62e69215748fae43ea50bb533f557f854b0c7f9f4e220a636c8aa338fa7b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof HyperSpirit, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed MANA eSports | 34c | 6,500$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.09 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MANA eSports | 65c | 5,003$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.9 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 4,714$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 4,266$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HyperSpirit | 69c | 3,434$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 2,076$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.26 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed HyperSpirit | 34c | 1,899$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.8 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 45c | 1,102$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked MANA eSports | 66c | 742.38$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.38 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked HyperSpirit | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 33c | 527.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 504.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…43bebacked MANA eSports | 67c | 455.8$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 452.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.55 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HyperSpirit | 40c | 451.78$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed MANA eSports | 12c | 445.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.59 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 423.12$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 407.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 73c | 381.21$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 39c | 341.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed MANA eSports | 68c | 338.76$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 325.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MANA eSports | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 297.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed MANA eSports | 36c | 295.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 263.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 232.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MANA eSports | 48c | 210.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 203.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…9408backed HyperSpirit | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…b6cbbacked HyperSpirit | 34c | 199.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed MANA eSports | 27c | 185.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked HyperSpirit | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 172.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 171.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HyperSpirit | 34c | 149.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked HyperSpirit | 19c | 147.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked MANA eSports | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed MANA eSports | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed MANA eSports | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked HyperSpirit | 61c | 109.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed MANA eSports | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…60e5backed HyperSpirit | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked MANA eSports | 55c | 99.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed HyperSpirit | 18c | 98.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked MANA eSports | 49c | 95.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed MANA eSports | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed MANA eSports | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed HyperSpirit | 43c | 92.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed MANA eSports | 66c | 89.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 68c | 89.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked MANA eSports | 66c | 87.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed MANA eSports | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed MANA eSports | 67c | 74.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…8a3cbacked MANA eSports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 67.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed MANA eSports | 67c | 64.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…c965backed HyperSpirit | 19c | 58.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked HyperSpirit | 59c | 52.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked HyperSpirit | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed MANA eSports | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed HyperSpirit | 78c | 48.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked HyperSpirit | 58c | 46.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…93e8backed MANA eSports | 59c | 42.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed MANA eSports | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 38.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed HyperSpirit | 70c | 35.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed MANA eSports | 63c | 35.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…7b60backed HyperSpirit | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked MANA eSports | 68c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed MANA eSports | 55c | 33.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked MANA eSports | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked HyperSpirit | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…ba6ebacked HyperSpirit | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed HyperSpirit | 60c | 26.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed HyperSpirit | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…9b1ebacked MANA eSports | 68c | 23.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…269ebacked HyperSpirit | 78c | 15.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.