Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27e2a34c2403762eefab727051052bc44faf7a2d980694b6f0951d08ab82151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof NRG Esports, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed NRG Esports | 73c | 8,000$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed CCG Esports | 27c | 7,308$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.11 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed CCG Esports | 19c | 1,489$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.67 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked NRG Esports | 70c | 975.56$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.89 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked CCG Esports | 45c | 879.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.73 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed CCG Esports | 27c | 799.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.52 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…7e04backed NRG Esports | 60c | 787.88$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.95 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed CCG Esports | 5c | 776.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.52 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CCG Esports | 13c | 770.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.89 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CCG Esports | 27c | 741.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.64 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed CCG Esports | 30c | 625.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.11 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed CCG Esports | 30c | 584.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed NRG Esports | 73c | 412.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked NRG Esports | 71c | 377.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed NRG Esports | 78c | 352.88$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed CCG Esports | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked NRG Esports | 69c | 303.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed CCG Esports | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed NRG Esports | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed NRG Esports | 78c | 278.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked CCG Esports | 18c | 277.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.09 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed CCG Esports | 23c | 274.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed NRG Esports | 77c | 265.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CCG Esports | 31c | 183.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked CCG Esports | 22c | 181.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed NRG Esports | 78c | 166.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed NRG Esports | 77c | 164.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed CCG Esports | 52c | 160.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports | 73c | 151.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CCG Esports | 8c | 140$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked NRG Esports | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed CCG Esports | 30c | 122.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed CCG Esports | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked NRG Esports | 67c | 110.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…65f9backed CCG Esports | 29c | 109.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed CCG Esports | 31c | 105.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed NRG Esports | 72c | 104.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CCG Esports | 22c | 104.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed CCG Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked NRG Esports | 71c | 99.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed CCG Esports | 32c | 93.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CCG Esports | 21c | 91.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed CCG Esports | 33c | 91.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked CCG Esports | 17c | 84.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…383bbacked CCG Esports | 30c | 80.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked CCG Esports | 35c | 72.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked CCG Esports | 30c | 68.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked CCG Esports | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed CCG Esports | 26c | 63.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked NRG Esports | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed CCG Esports | 30c | 54.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked NRG Esports | 72c | 54.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CCG Esports | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CCG Esports | 29c | 52.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked NRG Esports | 71c | 49.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed CCG Esports | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed NRG Esports | 73c | 33.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NRG Esports | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed NRG Esports | 73c | 26.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed NRG Esports | 71c | 26.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes won
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.