Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fd297c58296bd4eb5d7e892fe98a0d0d713ae9f5578fff3cc7fa0a5b47edb79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof NRG Esports, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked NRG Esports | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked CCG Esports | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed CCG Esports | 50c | 1,413$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.75 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed NRG Esports | 50c | 1,006$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.15 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed NRG Esports | 52c | 343.28$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CCG Esports | 48c | 268.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NRG Esports | 62c | 242.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CCG Esports | 40c | 211.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed CCG Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3cc3backed CCG Esports | 50c | 146.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…d48cbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 145.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 275 | 40.4%111 W · 164 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…08f5backed CCG Esports | 50c | 140.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked NRG Esports | 52c | 112.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed CCG Esports | 35c | 111.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed CCG Esports | 51c | 110.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…bc77backed CCG Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked CCG Esports | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed CCG Esports | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NRG Esports | 54c | 67.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CCG Esports | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed CCG Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed NRG Esports | 51c | 52.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d3…3109backed CCG Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…383bbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed NRG Esports | 62c | 48.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed NRG Esports | 51c | 42.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…db92backed CCG Esports | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed NRG Esports | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed NRG Esports | 63c | 31.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…7e1dbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed NRG Esports | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed NRG Esports | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed CCG Esports | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed NRG Esports | 51c | 21.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…3480backed CCG Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…f42cbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb725…93dbbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…602dbacked CCG Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerCCG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.