Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6f4eb792fa893118bf8e5b0556d525627420f9b4428e896d208a448c9e45cc

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Eternal Fire
Resolved: May 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,820 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Eternal Fire	49c	41,587$20,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,190.72	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed FUT Esports	51c	25,635$13,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,561.17	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports	67c	6,285$4,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,045.29	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed FUT Esports	52c	5,398$2,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,591.03	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+66%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed FUT Esports	52c	2,932$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.57	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports	77c	2,710$2,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.03	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports	52c	2,570$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.24	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eternal Fire	15c	1,908$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.69	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FUT Esports	53c	1,450$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Eternal Fire	10c	1,354$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.36	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eternal Fire	45c	1,350$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.15	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked FUT Esports	52c	1,254$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.85	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FUT Esports	54c	1,250$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.67	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire	9c	990.78$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked FUT Esports	52c	730$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.4	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed FUT Esports	72c	691.26$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.87	234	63.7%149 W · 85 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports	51c	543.12$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.7	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Eternal Fire	47c	472.6$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.61	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed FUT Esports	52c	445$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.6	180	49.4%89 W · 91 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…b09abacked FUT Esports	57c	436.91$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.55	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FUT Esports	52c	399.98$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.99	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56da…449ebacked Eternal Fire	46c	368.7$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Eternal Fire	31c	366.74$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.36	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Eternal Fire	8c	349.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Eternal Fire	48c	299.99$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	260	51.9%135 W · 125 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed FUT Esports	57c	296.15$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.15	126	56.3%71 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire	14c	259.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.31	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Eternal Fire	44c	255.68$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	202	48%97 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…8febbacked Eternal Fire	49c	237.01$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.29	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked FUT Esports	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Eternal Fire	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Eternal Fire	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Eternal Fire	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x074b…65f9backed Eternal Fire	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Eternal Fire	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	208	40.9%85 W · 123 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Eternal Fire	49c	186.94$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.6	223	52.9%118 W · 105 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Eternal Fire	30c	183.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Eternal Fire	39c	181.09$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire	39c	179.45$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.84	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports	51c	176.27$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.74	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed Eternal Fire	45c	170.87$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.89	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire	26c	169.28$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Eternal Fire	34c	168.46$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.63	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire	29c	160$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.4	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Eternal Fire	45c	158$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.1	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire	43c	157.9$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fd…137ebacked Eternal Fire	49c	145.98$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.53	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8431…ee9cbacked Eternal Fire	9c	136.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6330…c828backed Eternal Fire	49c	133.9$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked FUT Esports	57c	131.58$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.58	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Eternal Fire	50c	129$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.12	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire	25c	118.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Eternal Fire	47c	110.22$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed FUT Esports	51c	102.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.47	138	48.6%67 W · 71 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Eternal Fire	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed FUT Esports	51c	102$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.98	230	55.7%128 W · 102 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire	39c	100.15$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.74	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb3…9e69backed Eternal Fire	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed FUT Esports	52c	69.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.3	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Eternal Fire	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed FUT Esports	63c	57.14$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.14	115	64.3%74 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Eternal Fire	38c	57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.66	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Eternal Fire	49c	54.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	212	40.1%85 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked FUT Esports	52c	46.3$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.22	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Eternal Fire	43c	44.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.29	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed FUT Esports	52c	38.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.26	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…2c71backed FUT Esports	54c	36.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.82	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed FUT Esports	56c	34.64$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.24	60	61.7%37 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire	33c	33.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed FUT Esports	49c	31.85$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.24	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba2…97c1backed Eternal Fire	49c	30.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed FUT Esports	51c	27.31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.38	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed FUT Esports	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382a…aab7backed Eternal Fire	48c	27.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed FUT Esports	54c	25.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked FUT Esports	51c	24.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28be…03fcbacked Eternal Fire	49c	23.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e24…b6d5backed Eternal Fire	47c	21.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsFUT Esports won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event