Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e59be810af15b62b918af921489abdefd150999d47c11f9c78bfc984e75449

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof FUT Esports, Eternal Fire
Resolved: May 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,846 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Eternal Fire	62c	3,373$2,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,297.93	524	55.2%289 W · 235 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports	36c	2,695$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.92	534	55.2%295 W · 239 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Eternal Fire	52c	1,360$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.81	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eternal Fire	71c	1,192$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.78	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports	38c	1,013$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.32	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed FUT Esports	39c	992.02$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.55	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Eternal Fire	50c	855.77$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.91	548	51.1%280 W · 268 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed Eternal Fire	53c	754.71$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.72	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FUT Esports	42c	634.93$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.07	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked FUT Esports	50c	614$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports	33c	594.38$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.89	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports	51c	499.99$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	537	42.1%226 W · 311 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed FUT Esports	26c	470$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.1	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports	32c	402.78$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.64	1,365	38.9%531 W · 834 L	-60.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Eternal Fire	55c	400.13$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.06	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Eternal Fire	77c	391.42$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.42	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	72cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports	30c	391.29$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.41	1,281	32.1%411 W · 870 L	-67.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports	38c	383.47$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.62	1,607	37.5%603 W · 1,004 L	-75.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Eternal Fire	57c	352.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.95	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed FUT Esports	17c	349.09$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.35	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FUT Esports	42c	229.52$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.4	311	53.1%165 W · 146 L	+15.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Eternal Fire	50c	221.96$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.37	257	61.1%157 W · 100 L	+22.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Eternal Fire	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	146	61.6%90 W · 56 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed FUT Esports	41c	187.8$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.22	666	38%253 W · 413 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed FUT Esports	38c	180.39$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Eternal Fire	61c	160$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FUT Esports	40c	156$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.96	999	45.9%459 W · 540 L	-27.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5341…92d6backed FUT Esports	11c	139.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Eternal Fire	61c	138.28$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	565	57.7%326 W · 239 L	+35.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa03…7e11backed Eternal Fire	78c	133.33$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.33	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	66cpaid	-41%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed FUT Esports	43c	111.75$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.08	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed FUT Esports	33c	104.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea86…6fb4backed Eternal Fire	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire	59c	102$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.37	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Eternal Fire	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FUT Esports	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Eternal Fire	57c	97.95$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.12	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire	58c	95.23$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	1,380	47.1%650 W · 730 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire	51c	90.49$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire	55c	85.98$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.77	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire	65c	83.43$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.94	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Eternal Fire	51c	80.73$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.56	199	43.7%87 W · 112 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Eternal Fire	67c	71.72$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.96	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Eternal Fire	57c	70.53$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.53	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked FUT Esports	34c	70$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	151	45%68 W · 83 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed FUT Esports	41c	65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Eternal Fire	65c	57.55$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.03	202	48%97 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Eternal Fire	63c	55.7$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports	43c	50.88$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	932	48.1%448 W · 484 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Eternal Fire	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	278	47.1%131 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Eternal Fire	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Eternal Fire	48c	40.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Eternal Fire	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	55	69.1%38 W · 17 L	+12.2wins	+0.22per pick	47cpaid	+69.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Eternal Fire	55c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.59	264	36%95 W · 169 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed FUT Esports	37c	31.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed FUT Esports	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked FUT Esports	40c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382a…aab7backed FUT Esports	52c	21.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Eternal Fire	66c	20.72$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Eternal Fire	71c	14.81$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsFUT Esports won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event