World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x219c11d6f896e92af5f5947f8bebb41952cc55d9b764ee4a3171c4803203ec2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 63c | 35,038$22,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,943.73 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 37c | 20,156$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,386.65 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 15,428$9,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,476.91 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…2ec7backed No | 62c | 14,116$8,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,388.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 29c | 9,844$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.38 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 76c | 8,293$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 11c | 6,854$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…eb83backed Yes | 45c | 6,298$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 25c | 5,954$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 5,939$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.8 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 48c | 5,902$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.35 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 33c | 5,253$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.49 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 25c | 4,393$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 38c | 4,096$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 64c | 3,936$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked No | 66c | 3,703$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.81 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.30per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 60c | 3,544$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 10c | 3,543$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 33c | 3,510$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.5 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 50c | 3,393$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 59c | 3,391$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 60c | 2,599$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.45 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 49c | 2,425$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 11c | 2,399$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 3c | 2,349$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 27c | 2,302$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.19 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed No | 45c | 2,234$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…4df2backed Yes | 34c | 2,230$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 46c | 2,020$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 74c | 2,012$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 69c | 1,987$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 70c | 1,857$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…d487backed No | 65c | 1,842$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked No | 48c | 1,815$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 66c | 1,729$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…fb86backed Yes | 6c | 1,669$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 21c | 1,600$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.36 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 44c | 1,586$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 31c | 1,467$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.14 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 80c | 1,464$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked No | 39c | 1,451$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 10c | 1,448$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…f028backed No | 68c | 1,340$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…f5e6backed Yes | 55c | 1,266$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,252$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 44c | 1,234$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 46c | 1,233$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 45c | 1,212$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.45 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,179$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 59c | 1,158$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.94 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 1,146$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.32 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed No | 63c | 1,120$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 63c | 1,098$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed Yes | 59c | 1,066$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395d…cca7backed Yes | 9c | 1,064$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,023$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.63 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 58c | 1,018$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…4843backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…d57fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 45c | 910.32$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.77 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 57c | 869.29$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.18 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 63c | 863.01$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.66 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 39c | 828$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 13c | 827.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 29c | 805.46$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.88 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 60c | 805.03$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 33c | 800$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 32c | 781.05$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 74c | 776.12$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…42e5backed Yes | 40c | 758.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 33c | 750.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked No | 39c | 745.69$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 36c | 723.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 15c | 720$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…d81abacked Yes | 34c | 710.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 43c | 703.86$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 695.58$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…f5b9backed Yes | 12c | 691.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 28c | 668.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 80c | 625.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked No | 48c | 621$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 28c | 606.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 62c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Yes | 60c | 586.4$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Yes | 56c | 580.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 68c | 555.67$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 61c | 549.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.99 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 38c | 549.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…09d9backed Yes | 68c | 548.1$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 43c | 530.01$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.52 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 39c | 515.64$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 10c | 510.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 51c | 500$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…022dbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…047ebacked No | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.