Ukraine · resolved market
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e5aa827f6705f18dd71da26f074cef281ec747afc5285fd967a02c365d059c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9ab…e269backed Yes | 0c | 36,611$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed Yes | 21c | 11,782$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 65c | 8,815$5,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 10c | 5,290$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.06 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 11c | 5,134$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.04 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 71c | 5,060$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 13c | 4,925$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.7 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…7424backed Yes | 30c | 4,549$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed Yes | 22c | 3,925$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 55c | 3,657$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd67d…9cafbacked Yes | 2c | 3,427$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 11c | 3,407$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,388$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 23c | 3,198$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.17 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 2,911$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…c7a0backed No | 73c | 2,863$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,803$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 2,326$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.64 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2e5fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,257$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 65c | 2,230$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 15c | 2,117$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,049$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 35c | 1,761$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.93 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 28c | 1,750$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.46 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 25c | 1,654$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.7 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 41c | 1,535$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +65%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 71c | 1,417$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 75c | 1,397$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.13 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 74c | 1,382$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,267$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.54 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 4c | 1,211$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 50c | 1,208$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,142$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 1,064$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 37c | 1,038$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.46 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 48c | 1,029$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…1495backed Yes | 35c | 1,015$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…91bebacked Yes | 34c | 949.2$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 12c | 938.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed No | 62c | 930$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 27c | 913.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…1772backed Yes | 2c | 901.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 11c | 895.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked No | 64c | 894.17$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 14c | 810.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 20c | 769.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d41…b56ebacked Yes | 2c | 756.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 15c | 747.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 7c | 720.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 14c | 710.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 78c | 685.82$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 16c | 648.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 28c | 643.37$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 72c | 635.59$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 23c | 618.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…70dcbacked Yes | 15c | 615.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 30c | 602.48$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…1b55backed Yes | 16c | 599.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 17c | 579.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Yes | 44c | 562.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed Yes | 15c | 555$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 38c | 555$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed Yes | 26c | 538.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 4c | 513.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…ef4cbacked Yes | 26c | 500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 20c | 465.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed Yes | 43c | 461.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 66c | 449.2$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 20c | 426$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…a6b0backed Yes | 35c | 422.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 42c | 418.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…bb87backed Yes | 12c | 416$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 35c | 414.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…349ebacked Yes | 2c | 409.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed No | 74c | 408.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fd83backed Yes | 11c | 399.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…b1afbacked No | 78c | 375.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 370.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 71c | 365.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…0837backed No | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 78c | 355.26$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 69c | 350$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 29c | 349.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 24c | 347.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…bbc7backed No | 58c | 345.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 29c | 345.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…e0eabacked No | 73c | 343.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 22c | 333$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d1…33b8backed Yes | 40c | 327.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 41c | 319$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 30c | 315.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 42c | 299.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…043bbacked Yes | 31c | 278.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed No | 74c | 266.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 75c | 265.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.