Us Politics · resolved market
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d65debd486144386e3d06ac15528434ee11fb844579fb2204906e655bfed51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $958,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $904,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 21c | 151,588$31,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,718.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…e179backed No | 66c | 62,122$41,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,121.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…918ebacked Yes | 34c | 62,122$21,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,121.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 12c | 55,536$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.37 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 15c | 33,862$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.6 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…2a73backed Yes | 39c | 32,567$12,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,701.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…1da6backed No | 61c | 32,567$19,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,701.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 79c | 28,870$22,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 15c | 13,818$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.91 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 72c | 11,919$8,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.54 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 11c | 11,197$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.53 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 28c | 7,300$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 17c | 7,100$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 18c | 7,051$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.02 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 12c | 6,645$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.07 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 60c | 6,482$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.13 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 64c | 6,182$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.07 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 21c | 5,212$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.21 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 4,789$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.53 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…8f24backed No | 67c | 3,725$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,320$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 79c | 3,179$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.27 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 28c | 3,103$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.77 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 22c | 2,859$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 68c | 2,802$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 14c | 2,664$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…e93dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,515$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…1495backed Yes | 25c | 2,497$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed Yes | 14c | 2,470$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 23c | 2,267$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 11c | 2,176$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes | 16c | 2,101$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 11c | 2,009$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 16c | 1,996$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 19c | 1,929$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 1,737$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 14c | 1,720$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…9d8ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,702$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.8 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,691$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 1,509$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.22 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 39c | 1,435$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.41 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 19c | 1,344$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed Yes | 23c | 1,341$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.84 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 31c | 1,318$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 72c | 1,275$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.51 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 20c | 1,255$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 15c | 1,218$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 52c | 1,200$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.46 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,165$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 30c | 1,127$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.59 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 5c | 1,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,005$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 15c | 999.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 20c | 989.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 59c | 940.66$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.63 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 10c | 900$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…73cabacked No | 69c | 834.4$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 5c | 818.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 19c | 808.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…9095backed Yes | 19c | 778.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 18c | 777$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 27c | 777$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…8aa7backed Yes | 26c | 766$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 742.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 18c | 700$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 18c | 690$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…68d9backed No | 66c | 680.63$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 64c | 628.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…c0bcbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 13c | 620$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…c9c0backed Yes | 31c | 590.11$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 22c | 555$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed Yes | 10c | 555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed No | 57c | 528.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…c824backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 61c | 482.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed No | 67c | 466$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…e8c9backed No | 63c | 463.14$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 414.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 49c | 405.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 62c | 403.03$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…c93cbacked No | 76c | 393.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5d…47d0backed Yes | 35c | 387.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 54c | 355$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 17c | 354.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…f164backed Yes | 5c | 346.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…b754backed Yes | 19c | 331.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 55c | 323$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed Yes | 10c | 311$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…7bdabacked Yes | 14c | 307.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…dd0cbacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.