Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d352110c4f97ea7414193b7bffb072476813d8c2db091d8f072cc52c545492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd28b…2873backed Yes | 41c | 97,253$39,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,873.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…302dbacked No | 59c | 97,253$57,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,873.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…cca0backed No | 64c | 24,822$15,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,935.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…8cf8backed Yes | 36c | 24,822$8,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,935.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 39c | 17,043$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.48 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 10c | 15,563$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.08 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 56c | 9,870$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.16 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 58c | 9,429$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.15 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 64c | 7,992$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.56 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 52c | 7,303$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.14 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 3,643$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.03 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 1c | 3,379$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 60c | 3,139$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 48c | 2,861$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.27 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 50c | 2,818$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.28 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 20c | 2,552$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.08 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed No | 61c | 2,149$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Yes | 47c | 1,955$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 53c | 1,926$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.23 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 45c | 1,895$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.42 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 8c | 1,600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 27c | 1,506$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.51 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,339$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,331$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 1,320$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.11 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 78c | 1,178$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 1,130$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…dbeabacked Yes | 4c | 1,116$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,109$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…e971backed Yes | 42c | 1,102$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 1,073$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,021$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…d826backed Yes | 45c | 883.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 53c | 878$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…c4f6backed No | 58c | 859.65$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 16c | 832.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 4c | 811.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 75c | 804.29$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…c324backed Yes | 58c | 772.91$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8855backed Yes | 27c | 766.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…e286backed Yes | 51c | 733.15$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…de71backed Yes | 54c | 730.19$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 7c | 719$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d9febacked Yes | 2c | 640.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 4c | 630$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked No | 33c | 600$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.76 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 49c | 572.95$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 61c | 549.16$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed Yes | 43c | 510.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 12c | 465.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…b6c6backed Yes | 22c | 458.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 21c | 428.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 51c | 408.69$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…6b43backed Yes | 4c | 396.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 13c | 382.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 50c | 368.49$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 5c | 344.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…dd0cbacked No | 61c | 334.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 61c | 315.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed Yes | 33c | 302.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…45a9backed Yes | 52c | 292.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 280.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 62c | 257$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 240.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 47c | 230.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…1499backed Yes | 25c | 230.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 28c | 230$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 61c | 225.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 39c | 220.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 6c | 220.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 37c | 219.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 47c | 213.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…4e53backed No | 49c | 205.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 23cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 62c | 201.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 63c | 193.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…c6e8backed No | 59c | 191.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 58c | 186.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 51c | 186.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed No | 27c | 184.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…c0d3backed Yes | 51c | 181.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 69c | 180.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 62c | 179.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…b79fbacked Yes | 44c | 170.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 58c | 166.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…b357backed No | 61c | 164.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed No | 66c | 139$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…cdcfbacked Yes | 39c | 128.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c927backed Yes | 53c | 122.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.