NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088ede279c8953d5345782266c5ea4a9451c52b8307e5579445a0916379f9b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Lakers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $680,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 19c | 104,631$19,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,814.68 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Lakers | 21c | 27,707$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.25 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 74c | 26,320$19,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…7f63backed Lakers | 17c | 23,734$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Lakers | 27c | 22,554$6,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,113.53 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 79c | 22,064$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.77 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 13c | 18,510$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.79 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Lakers | 15c | 17,333$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 79c | 16,700$13,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.34 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Lakers | 12c | 16,497$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 76c | 14,926$11,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582.13 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Lakers | 24c | 12,475$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.08 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 76c | 12,000$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Lakers | 12c | 10,528$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.96 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…dd75backed Lakers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 79c | 9,661$7,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.34 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 78c | 9,517$7,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.37 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lakers | 15c | 8,863$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.44 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 79c | 8,495$6,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.01 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Lakers | 12c | 8,378$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 25c | 7,686$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.08 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers | 28c | 7,145$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.23 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 16c | 6,852$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 10c | 6,840$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.78 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 78c | 6,700$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 72c | 6,487$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.77 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Thunder | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.26 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 13c | 6,217$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 71c | 6,175$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.9 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 79c | 5,515$4,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.15 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Lakers | 17c | 4,912$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.39 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers | 14c | 4,900$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d5…dba4backed Lakers | 47c | 4,847$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Thunder | 79c | 4,053$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.24 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Lakers | 15c | 3,177$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.62 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.78 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 65c | 2,809$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.08 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers | 24c | 2,626$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.23 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 14c | 2,615$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.91 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Lakers | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lakers | 25c | 2,427$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.91 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Lakers | 21c | 2,402$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers | 1c | 2,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 28c | 2,080$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.42 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Lakers | 28c | 2,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.85 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Thunder | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lakers | 16c | 1,885$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Lakers | 31c | 1,788$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.92 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Lakers | 13c | 1,500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 20c | 1,481$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 77c | 1,350$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…3b4dbacked Lakers | 40c | 1,296$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Lakers | 15c | 1,241$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Lakers | 2c | 1,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 11c | 1,137$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Thunder | 77c | 1,107$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Lakers | 17c | 1,100$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 78c | 1,088$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 17c | 1,066$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Lakers | 16c | 1,050$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 6c | 1,035$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 17c | 1,015$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Thunder | 71c | 1,001$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.11 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Lakers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Thunder | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lakers | 51c | 989.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Thunder | 74c | 960.38$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…6ab3backed Lakers | 15c | 933.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Lakers | 24c | 850$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Lakers | 21c | 800$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Lakers | 13c | 779.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Lakers | 25c | 728.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Lakers | 11c | 699.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Thunder | 70c | 676.82$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…60d1backed Lakers | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 14c | 666$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Lakers | 11c | 635.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Lakers | 16c | 632.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Lakers | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Lakers | 24c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Lakers | 15c | 593.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Lakers | 21c | 585.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lakers | 21c | 577.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 74c | 549.35$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Lakers | 18c | 543.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Thunder | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Thunder | 79c | 500$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…ac88backed Lakers | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Lakers | 25c | 484.24$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Lakers | 12c | 483$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Lakers | 23c | 466.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Lakers | 11c | 453.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Lakers | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa353…d605backed Lakers | 24c | 440$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Lakers | 26c | 431.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.