NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e4023613c5811926d277381b7c19edeb0b5b43a9288f6b579073a1c02af27cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Timberwolves, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 51,642$32,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,365.02 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…007ebacked Timberwolves | 0c | 50,500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 12c | 36,450$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.86 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bucks | 38c | 28,944$10,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,945.5 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Bucks | 37c | 16,249$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,249.45 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 34c | 10,193$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,698.67 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.97 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 8,038$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.46 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 37c | 6,747$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.44 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,049$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 68c | 6,018$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.05 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 3,910$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.36 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 35c | 3,566$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.22 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 67c | 3,376$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.65 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 48c | 3,078$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.94 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Timberwolves | 66c | 3,045$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,875$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.77 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 2,058$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.59 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Timberwolves | 3c | 1,960$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 35c | 1,756$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.54 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,533$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Bucks | 34c | 1,523$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bucks | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Bucks | 35c | 1,448$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.78 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 33c | 1,104$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,004$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.4 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bucks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Timberwolves | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Bucks | 36c | 997.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.51 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Bucks | 33c | 850$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Timberwolves | 66c | 825$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Bucks | 34c | 825$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 5c | 795$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 760$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 64c | 755.76$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.69 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 3c | 700.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 2c | 653.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.61 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bucks | 16c | 629.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.16 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Timberwolves | 7c | 589.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Timberwolves | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 583.27$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.63 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Timberwolves | 58c | 542.93$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bucks | 15c | 541.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…f42cbacked Bucks | 37c | 497.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Bucks | 33c | 482.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.56 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bucks | 24c | 454.61$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Timberwolves | 68c | 442.74$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Timberwolves | 67c | 440$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Timberwolves | 6c | 431.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Bucks | 30c | 386.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 59c | 330$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…1adbbacked Bucks | 33c | 303.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…b17cbacked Bucks | 10c | 301.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Bucks | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Bucks | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Timberwolves | 49c | 289.89$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 253.23$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 221.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 36c | 217.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 204.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Bucks | 6c | 193.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 36c | 160$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…55d1backed Bucks | 34c | 146.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…c041backed Bucks | 33c | 144.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bucks | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Bucks | 79c | 125.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Bucks | 35c | 123.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Bucks | 16c | 123.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…48c4backed Bucks | 35c | 121.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Bucks | 32c | 121.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Bucks | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bucks | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bucks | 35c | 119.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…3c0fbacked Bucks | 34c | 113.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…44cfbacked Bucks | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Timberwolves | 65c | 111$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 146 | 67.1%98 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…276fbacked Bucks | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…2bcdbacked Bucks | 38c | 104$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…8068backed Timberwolves | 66c | 101.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Bucks | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Bucks | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Timberwolves | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Bucks | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…08a3backed Bucks | 35c | 99.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…b635backed Timberwolves | 67c | 98.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bucks | 37c | 95.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…7bafbacked Bucks | 34c | 92.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Bucks | 21c | 90.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 13c | 90.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b73…e92abacked Bucks | 36c | 90.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…7e85backed Timberwolves | 66c | 88.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.