Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ff9815e784f89efe90cd1dac7fe63339180bc4baa0372ec11474a1e84e10a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 56c | 6,314$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.6 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed Yes | 54c | 5,616$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.76 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 42c | 3,495$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 34c | 3,294$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.9 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 46c | 3,210$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.11 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 34c | 2,498$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.68 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 46c | 2,470$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 46c | 2,337$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.54 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 66c | 2,249$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.93 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 9c | 2,095$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 50c | 1,917$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.28 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,742$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 58c | 1,573$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.72 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,480$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.25 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 65c | 1,219$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 49c | 1,055$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.76 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 48c | 987.76$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.56 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 54c | 898.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.96 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 63c | 794.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.69 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 22c | 743.78$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…c753backed No | 50c | 635.33$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 30c | 573.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.68 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 61c | 487.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Yes | 67c | 427$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 27c | 371.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 32c | 310.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…7f0abacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…f42dbacked Yes | 45c | 279.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…3c2bbacked Yes | 75c | 266.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…9076backed Yes | 66c | 266.45$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…bdcfbacked No | 39c | 245.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…af99backed No | 11c | 217.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 216$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 34c | 190$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked No | 41c | 169.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 55c | 155.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…e597backed Yes | 56c | 154.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…096abacked Yes | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 48c | 136.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 131.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 60c | 129.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 45c | 103.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked No | 40c | 89.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…e696backed Yes | 77c | 84.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 53c | 81.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 54c | 79.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…99a4backed Yes | 64c | 78.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…a2d7backed No | 29c | 75.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 55c | 65.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 34c | 63.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 65c | 63.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 19c | 59.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 41c | 59.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…e1b9backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3772…e3f7backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 47c | 49.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 22c | 47.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…1bd6backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 36c | 46.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…a2f8backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 73c | 38.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…d6f1backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…5625backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…1457backed Yes | 54c | 31.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…e10cbacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…7da5backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…445fbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…a551backed Yes | 66c | 30.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…40b0backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…dd85backed No | 47c | 25.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7813…eeccbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…b9fdbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 57c | 22.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…25efbacked Yes | 54c | 22.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 58c | 21.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…56f3backed Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…39cfbacked Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.