UFC · resolved market
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e6f3e22864466b12342c2d2378cc0027c8860f2ba331c9387e21c2069a54169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodriguezof Rodriguez, Pitbull
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6d7…f2bbbacked Pitbull | 44c | 27,066$11,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,826.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rodriguez | 57c | 10,467$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.65 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Rodriguez | 56c | 8,471$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Pitbull | 41c | 4,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Rodriguez | 63c | 3,800$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Rodriguez | 57c | 3,674$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.81 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pitbull | 35c | 3,393$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.43 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pitbull | 40c | 3,225$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.83 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rodriguez | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Rodriguez | 60c | 2,875$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.84 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Pitbull | 37c | 2,854$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rodriguez | 64c | 2,784$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.38 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Pitbull | 35c | 2,087$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Pitbull | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rodriguez | 65c | 1,751$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Rodriguez | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pitbull | 38c | 1,665$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.22 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rodriguez | 60c | 1,550$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Rodriguez | 65c | 1,544$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.5 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Pitbull | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rodriguez | 59c | 1,396$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.88 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…5267backed Pitbull | 41c | 1,360$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…10f7backed Pitbull | 35c | 1,223$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Rodriguez | 59c | 1,142$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.66 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Pitbull | 42c | 1,110$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.79 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Rodriguez | 58c | 1,108$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.75 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Rodriguez | 58c | 1,051$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rodriguez | 58c | 1,036$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.94 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rodriguez | 57c | 1,029$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.68 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pitbull | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Rodriguez | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed Rodriguez | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Rodriguez | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pitbull | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…9b43backed Rodriguez | 61c | 965$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Pitbull | 34c | 824.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.39 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Rodriguez | 60c | 768.53$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rodriguez | 59c | 752.54$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25d…eb15backed Pitbull | 35c | 665$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pitbull | 9c | 598.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Rodriguez | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…fc9dbacked Pitbull | 39c | 580$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rodriguez | 62c | 571.54$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Rodriguez | 62c | 549.19$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Rodriguez | 61c | 517.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…0fd1backed Rodriguez | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Pitbull | 42c | 499.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Rodriguez | 61c | 495$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Pitbull | 41c | 452$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.32 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.4wins | -0.49per pick | 56cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pitbull | 42c | 438$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…0172backed Pitbull | 39c | 395$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Pitbull | 44c | 382.01$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Rodriguez | 61c | 359.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rodriguez | 59c | 358.89$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pitbull | 41c | 348.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Rodriguez | 63c | 343.23$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Pitbull | 41c | 341.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pitbull | 33c | 334.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…f91abacked Rodriguez | 60c | 331.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Pitbull | 41c | 325.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Rodriguez | 63c | 322.59$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Rodriguez | 60c | 308.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Rodriguez | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd376…8a05backed Rodriguez | 65c | 301.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pitbull | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…35e6backed Rodriguez | 65c | 297.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c53…fad2backed Pitbull | 37c | 296.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…bfedbacked Pitbull | 35c | 295$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…453bbacked Pitbull | 37c | 294.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…1202backed Pitbull | 36c | 293.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796e…ffcabacked Pitbull | 37c | 292.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…2483backed Rodriguez | 65c | 291.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…32e1backed Pitbull | 36c | 290.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…40d9backed Rodriguez | 65c | 290.26$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…77e4backed Pitbull | 37c | 289.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…7b2cbacked Rodriguez | 65c | 288.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…73a0backed Rodriguez | 65c | 288.22$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded9…cf2cbacked Pitbull | 37c | 285.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…be2cbacked Rodriguez | 65c | 284.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…59e9backed Pitbull | 37c | 284.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d0…1a2ebacked Pitbull | 37c | 283.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…491cbacked Pitbull | 37c | 282.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…d1d6backed Pitbull | 37c | 280.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…3208backed Rodriguez | 65c | 279.68$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…b3e5backed Rodriguez | 65c | 279.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…8e7fbacked Rodriguez | 65c | 278.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…a014backed Pitbull | 36c | 277.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…61e3backed Pitbull | 36c | 276.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…c114backed Rodriguez | 65c | 276.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…eb60backed Rodriguez | 65c | 275.22$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…6c33backed Rodriguez | 65c | 275.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…a264backed Rodriguez | 65c | 272$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Pitbull | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…6583backed Rodriguez | 65c | 269.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0837…a1d5backed Pitbull | 37c | 267.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…1d7cbacked Pitbull | 37c | 267.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…5ec7backed Rodriguez | 66c | 267.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…2c2ebacked Pitbull | 37c | 264.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…bc47backed Rodriguez | 65c | 263.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rodriguez | 57c | 261.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullthis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.