UFC · resolved market
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc75ed3c8ec15014f1d25aecc60c3cc9ede450ac52b6d7225b91a776bdc1563d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Mitchell, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mitchell | 35c | 16,882$5,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,831.93 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Silva | 63c | 16,712$10,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…d442backed Mitchell | 37c | 13,412$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Silva | 66c | 9,879$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mitchell | 35c | 9,818$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.27 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Silva | 65c | 8,200$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.65 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Silva | 66c | 7,600$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Mitchell | 42c | 5,000$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Mitchell | 36c | 5,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Mitchell | 32c | 3,408$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Mitchell | 36c | 3,226$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.14 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Silva | 65c | 3,079$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.97 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Silva | 65c | 3,069$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Silva | 65c | 2,998$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.21 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Silva | 68c | 2,953$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.76 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Mitchell | 35c | 2,900$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Silva | 65c | 2,624$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.47 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Mitchell | 32c | 2,440$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.72 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Silva | 71c | 2,374$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.59 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Silva | 63c | 2,140$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Mitchell | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…cb47backed Silva | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Silva | 63c | 1,942$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Silva | 67c | 1,924$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.46 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Mitchell | 32c | 1,920$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.8 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Silva | 63c | 1,799$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.4 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mitchell | 35c | 1,724$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.25 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Silva | 61c | 1,687$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mitchell | 35c | 1,623$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Mitchell | 37c | 1,610$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…2ad7backed Mitchell | 37c | 1,464$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Mitchell | 40c | 1,391$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Silva | 61c | 1,367$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.32 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Mitchell | 35c | 1,217$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Silva | 51c | 1,169$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.71 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Silva | 66c | 1,136$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.89 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Silva | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Mitchell | 37c | 1,075$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Silva | 61c | 1,033$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.53 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Silva | 64c | 1,019$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mitchell | 29c | 1,013$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.6 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Mitchell | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Mitchell | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Silva | 65c | 924.74$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…c85abacked Silva | 63c | 893.51$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Silva | 69c | 863.56$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.91 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Mitchell | 34c | 857.06$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Silva | 62c | 809.8$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Mitchell | 35c | 805.19$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mitchell | 35c | 799.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Silva | 64c | 772.53$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Silva | 64c | 756.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.52 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Mitchell | 37c | 752.84$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Mitchell | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Silva | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…a77bbacked Mitchell | 36c | 685$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…8660backed Silva | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Silva | 70c | 593.58$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Silva | 72c | 561.67$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c3…dbbfbacked Mitchell | 36c | 555.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Silva | 64c | 550$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Silva | 66c | 492.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…642ebacked Mitchell | 35c | 490.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Silva | 66c | 470.53$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…6d1ebacked Silva | 76c | 440.16$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Silva | 73c | 411.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mitchell | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…8194backed Mitchell | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Silva | 63c | 399$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Silva | 65c | 386.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Mitchell | 26c | 386$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Silva | 62c | 379.77$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Mitchell | 27c | 359.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…f21bbacked Mitchell | 32c | 345.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Mitchell | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…10f7backed Mitchell | 30c | 331.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Silva | 63c | 324.18$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Mitchell | 37c | 313.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Silva | 66c | 309.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…02f9backed Silva | 66c | 304.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…2461backed Silva | 66c | 304.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Silva | 66c | 303.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Mitchell | 37c | 302.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Silva | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Silva | 80c | 299.32$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…e148backed Mitchell | 37c | 294.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Silva | 67c | 284.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Mitchell | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…72e4backed Mitchell | 36c | 276.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Mitchell | 36c | 276.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Silva | 66c | 272.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…c74bbacked Silva | 64c | 270.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Silva | 63c | 270.3$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…995fbacked Mitchell | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Mitchell | 37c | 267.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Mitchell | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Mitchell | 38c | 260.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Silva | 63c | 256.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Silva | 67c | 253.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Mitchell | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvathis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.