UFC · resolved market
Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tulio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x179f04e5076ac190914f9c106756617d6c8be5ade3aa438c4a60c793cb0ec23d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulioof Gore, Tulio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9716…378abacked Gore | 17c | 6,475$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Tulio | 77c | 3,749$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gore | 17c | 3,314$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.43 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Gore | 24c | 3,243$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.32 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Gore | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Tulio | 79c | 2,639$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Gore | 25c | 2,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tulio | 77c | 1,533$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.33 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Gore | 22c | 1,310$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Gore | 18c | 1,220$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Gore | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Gore | 23c | 777$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…6991backed Tulio | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulio | 76c | 645$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Tulio | 76c | 644.07$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Gore | 20c | 520$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Tulio | 77c | 444$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Gore | 24c | 422.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Gore | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gore | 16c | 360.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Tulio | 26c | 305$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Gore | 74c | 301.55$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Gore | 12c | 280$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tulio | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tulio | 77c | 149.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Tulio | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Gore | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Gore | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Gore | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Gore | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Gore | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Gore | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Tulio | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Gore | 25c | 80.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Gore | 23c | 70.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Tulio | 75c | 60.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Tulio | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Gore | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Gore | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed Tulio | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Tulio | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Tulio | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Tulio | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Tulio | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Tulio | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tulio | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Tulio | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Tulio | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Tulio | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Tulio | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tulio | 80c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tuliothis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.