UFC · resolved market
Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d6718719138204d657a12657a8c6af7e9d19013ed94ace8e4ea775c2d60a00f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reyesof Krylov, Reyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…177ebacked Krylov | 62c | 41,743$25,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,880.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…cca0backed Reyes | 38c | 41,743$15,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,880.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Reyes | 41c | 14,444$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,521.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Krylov | 58c | 11,770$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,797.91 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Krylov | 60c | 5,000$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.8 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Krylov | 59c | 4,677$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…d442backed Reyes | 43c | 3,472$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Reyes | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Reyes | 42c | 2,895$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Reyes | 43c | 2,895$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Reyes | 42c | 2,801$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.43 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Krylov | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Reyes | 47c | 2,141$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.08 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Reyes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Krylov | 60c | 2,000$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…64f1backed Krylov | 59c | 1,744$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Krylov | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Reyes | 42c | 1,675$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.53 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Reyes | 40c | 1,638$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.39 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Krylov | 60c | 1,530$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Krylov | 59c | 1,306$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Reyes | 57c | 1,280$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.09 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reyes | 39c | 1,250$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.73 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Krylov | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…9c14backed Krylov | 5c | 1,200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Krylov | 59c | 1,183$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.1 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Reyes | 44c | 1,144$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Krylov | 58c | 1,062$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Krylov | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Krylov | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…5267backed Reyes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Krylov | 58c | 971.7$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.77 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Krylov | 59c | 894$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.46 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Reyes | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Reyes | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Krylov | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Krylov | 60c | 733.65$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.19 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Krylov | 11c | 726$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Krylov | 41c | 656.62$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.31 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Reyes | 41c | 619.33$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.42 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Reyes | 37c | 604.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.08 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Reyes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Reyes | 40c | 563.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.51 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Krylov | 59c | 527.26$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.1 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Krylov | 63c | 511.96$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Reyes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Reyes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Krylov | 59c | 487.82$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Krylov | 58c | 486.8$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Krylov | 58c | 407.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Krylov | 58c | 407$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.96 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Krylov | 59c | 400$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Krylov | 58c | 354$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Krylov | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Krylov | 61c | 325.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Reyes | 41c | 318.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Krylov | 57c | 251.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.4wins | -0.49per pick | 56cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Reyes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Reyes | 41c | 243.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Krylov | 59c | 236.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Reyes | 42c | 235.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Reyes | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Krylov | 59c | 232$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Reyes | 43c | 229.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Krylov | 61c | 215.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Reyes | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Krylov | 58c | 200.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Krylov | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Krylov | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…b18cbacked Krylov | 62c | 194.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Krylov | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Krylov | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Krylov | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Krylov | 57c | 155$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Krylov | 61c | 140.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Krylov | 59c | 128.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…3496backed Krylov | 58c | 128.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Krylov | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Reyes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Krylov | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Krylov | 9c | 116.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Krylov | 59c | 113.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Krylov | 56c | 111.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…d7d9backed Krylov | 58c | 106.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Krylov | 62c | 104.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Reyes | 40c | 104.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Krylov | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Reyes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Krylov | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Reyes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Krylov | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Krylov | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Krylov | 60c | 92.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d24…1016backed Krylov | 63c | 92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Reyes | 42c | 86.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…10f7backed Krylov | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…2461backed Krylov | 58c | 85.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…e5d4backed Krylov | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Krylov | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Krylov | 59c | 83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyesthis page
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski won
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.