UFC · resolved market
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x624df704cfabfec87b53c27176506793de5cd814870a56fbd3dbf7ea59691acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Volkanovskiof Volkanovski, Lopes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $976,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Volkanovski | 58c | 147,138$84,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,263.34 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…a6c7backed Lopes | 44c | 97,236$42,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,783.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…70ccbacked Volkanovski | 56c | 97,236$54,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,783.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…27a9backed Lopes | 42c | 95,329$40,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,015.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Volkanovski | 60c | 57,168$34,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,045.94 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9137…5ebfbacked Lopes | 41c | 41,589$17,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,241.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lopes | 38c | 36,077$13,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,559.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Lopes | 43c | 35,027$14,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,960 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Lopes | 44c | 34,777$15,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,221.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lopes | 41c | 32,589$13,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,506.18 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Volkanovski | 61c | 29,843$18,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,647.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Volkanovski | 60c | 23,030$13,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,211.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Volkanovski | 57c | 21,976$12,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449.88 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 20,912$12,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Volkanovski | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.99 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…1b3fbacked Volkanovski | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Lopes | 40c | 19,582$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,832.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…3466backed Lopes | 43c | 18,777$8,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,134.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Lopes | 46c | 15,158$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,953.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Volkanovski | 57c | 12,610$7,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.33 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…d8aabacked Lopes | 42c | 11,959$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Lopes | 43c | 11,492$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.47 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Lopes | 41c | 11,361$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Lopes | 40c | 10,650$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Volkanovski | 61c | 10,439$6,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Lopes | 39c | 10,209$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked Volkanovski | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Volkanovski | 58c | 9,836$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Volkanovski | 55c | 9,100$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…c885backed Lopes | 41c | 8,750$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Volkanovski | 62c | 8,589$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Lopes | 40c | 8,175$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Lopes | 40c | 7,876$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.87 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Lopes | 42c | 6,778$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lopes | 40c | 6,000$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Volkanovski | 59c | 5,550$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Volkanovski | 57c | 5,477$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.59 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Volkanovski | 59c | 5,319$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lopes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Volkanovski | 55c | 4,800$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Lopes | 36c | 4,153$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.4 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed Lopes | 43c | 4,081$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Volkanovski | 55c | 4,025$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.99 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Volkanovski | 56c | 3,974$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.97 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Volkanovski | 70c | 3,789$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lopes | 44c | 3,500$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…e83ebacked Lopes | 41c | 3,373$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Volkanovski | 57c | 3,216$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.79 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Lopes | 42c | 3,087$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Lopes | 44c | 2,915$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.81 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Volkanovski | 69c | 2,897$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.56 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Volkanovski | 56c | 2,878$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.47 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Volkanovski | 60c | 2,750$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lopes | 47c | 2,722$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Volkanovski | 55c | 2,639$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.39 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Volkanovski | 68c | 2,562$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Volkanovski | 61c | 2,534$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lopes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…10f7backed Lopes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Volkanovski | 56c | 2,497$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Lopes | 43c | 2,483$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.75 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Volkanovski | 70c | 2,427$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…7a95backed Lopes | 41c | 2,411$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Volkanovski | 80c | 2,310$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Lopes | 43c | 2,291$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.19 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lopes | 32c | 2,154$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.96 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…620fbacked Lopes | 41c | 2,146$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Lopes | 41c | 2,124$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Lopes | 41c | 2,022$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Volkanovski | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Volkanovski | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Volkanovski | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.21 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…e7ccbacked Lopes | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Volkanovski | 57c | 1,823$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.5 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Lopes | 41c | 1,800$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.98 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Volkanovski | 56c | 1,792$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.01 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Volkanovski | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Lopes | 36c | 1,761$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.83 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Volkanovski | 79c | 1,744$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.2 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…46d7backed Volkanovski | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Lopes | 47c | 1,675$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Volkanovski | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…a675backed Lopes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lopes | 40c | 1,482$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Volkanovski | 58c | 1,476$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…72e4backed Lopes | 41c | 1,445$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Lopes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…829dbacked Volkanovski | 58c | 1,212$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…c051backed Lopes | 46c | 1,174$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…75b6backed Lopes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…46a7backed Lopes | 41c | 1,144$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Lopes | 44c | 1,124$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Volkanovski | 65c | 1,114$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.57 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Lopes | 45c | 1,021$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…0614backed Lopes | 44c | 1,002$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Volkanovski | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Lopes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Volkanovski | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lopes | 19c | 991.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesthis page
- Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean SilvaSilva won
- Dan Ige vs. Sean WoodsonIge won
- Darren Elkins vs. Julian ErosaErosa won
- Jim Miller vs. Chase HooperHooper won
- Michael Chandler vs. Paddy PimblettPimblett won
- Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick ReyesReyes won
- Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey CowanCornolle won
- Sedriques Dumas vs. Michal OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- Sumudaerji vs. Mitch RaposoMudaerji won
- Tresean Gore vs. Marco TulioTulio won
- Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio PitbullRodriguez won
- Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna JandirobaJandiroba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.