Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe5219d1c82daaa110a20c0b50dae77f681f05eb43094e05ea24fe833c5ec47f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,020,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,872,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,020,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e13…050ebacked No | 1c | 641,660$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…7e4cbacked No | 0c | 539,186$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…4d05backed No | 0c | 492,028$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…49fbbacked No | 0c | 490,805$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…235bbacked No | 0c | 390,548$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…b6abbacked No | 1c | 285,663$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…4cd8backed No | 0c | 256,300$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed No | 0c | 250,600$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…4c06backed No | 0c | 221,460$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed No | 0c | 205,335$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…022cbacked No | 1c | 201,024$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…f5bbbacked No | 0c | 149,259$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd88…79edbacked No | 0c | 148,571$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed No | 1c | 140,543$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…ab83backed No | 0c | 123,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…0b91backed No | 0c | 111,143$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…6becbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c4a8backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9620backed No | 0c | 99,930$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…277fbacked No | 0c | 99,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…ded8backed No | 0c | 91,115$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…dde1backed No | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c01…5e40backed No | 0c | 87,030$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 1c | 78,273$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed No | 1c | 77,688$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…bfefbacked No | 1c | 67,394$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…8ceabacked No | 1c | 63,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…86cabacked No | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked No | 0c | 54,139$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 1c | 54,017$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.75 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…2134backed No | 0c | 51,119$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…4031backed No | 0c | 50,351$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd159…0076backed No | 1c | 47,369$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 1c | 44,681$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.49 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…84edbacked No | 1c | 44,600$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked No | 0c | 43,850$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 40,431$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…88edbacked No | 1c | 38,636$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…411bbacked No | 0c | 37,800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…db7cbacked No | 0c | 37,113$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…e773backed No | 1c | 36,180$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 0c | 35,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…9c14backed No | 0c | 35,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 0c | 34,777$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…e9e5backed No | 9c | 33,516$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed No | 1c | 33,497$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed No | 0c | 33,183$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…342dbacked No | 0c | 32,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9a…684bbacked No | 1c | 31,707$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ff…e0f8backed No | 1c | 30,512$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed No | 1c | 30,357$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…e733backed No | 1c | 28,911$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…f340backed No | 0c | 28,850$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 1c | 28,715$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.43 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…21adbacked No | 1c | 28,240$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 59c | 26,881$15,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,813.2 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 26,662$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.03 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…d355backed No | 0c | 26,580$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…5ac3backed No | 0c | 26,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed No | 0c | 25,770$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ba50backed No | 1c | 25,635$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6440…28cdbacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked No | 0c | 25,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1972…56a7backed No | 0c | 24,490$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…4ca9backed No | 0c | 24,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…31e9backed No | 0c | 23,800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 2c | 23,345$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.53 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…4411backed No | 1c | 23,337$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 1c | 23,050$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 22,862$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd9…8919backed No | 1c | 22,547$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…1bcdbacked No | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…339fbacked No | 0c | 21,896$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 34c | 21,156$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,944.23 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…2f6fbacked No | 1c | 20,438$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…dba1backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f69backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…3649backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…0f3ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…f4a2backed No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 45c | 20,000$8,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000.28 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 57c | 19,752$11,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,235.64 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 19,436$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…523ebacked No | 0c | 19,273$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 34c | 19,189$6,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,571 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…207fbacked No | 1c | 19,060$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…56aebacked No | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…ae30backed No | 14c | 18,177$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.44 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x441c…90cfbacked No | 0c | 18,123$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 23c | 17,650$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.12 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…97e7backed No | 1c | 17,091$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed No | 19c | 17,019$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…a932backed No | 0c | 16,880$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…c4c4backed No | 1c | 16,765$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…f0abbacked No | 0c | 16,735$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 60c | 16,498$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.4 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.