CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f69355e0b663bef055dddbe9c9dff668468567d89afb55c0d864d35c4830ee1

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sashi Esportof Sinners, Sashi Esport
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,921 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sashi Esport	25c	2,500$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,875	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners	75c	1,768$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325.82	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sashi Esport	30c	1,094$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.15	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sinners	31c	854.8$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.28	100	44%44 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Sinners	68c	658.26$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.18	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sinners	62c	602.04$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.13	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners	34c	595.71$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.25	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Sashi Esport	36c	540.42$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.37	419	38.9%163 W · 256 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners	53c	515.1$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.45	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Sinners	57c	490.71$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.49	468	43.4%203 W · 265 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Sashi Esport	63c	458.52$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.77	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3429…a098backed Sinners	9c	394.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sashi Esport	49c	325.69$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.96	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Sinners	8c	318.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	157	32.5%51 W · 106 L	-11.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Sinners	12c	310$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	168	29.2%49 W · 119 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Sinners	64c	301.15$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.74	354	49.7%176 W · 178 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Sinners	70c	281.36$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.95	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Sashi Esport	64c	277.26$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.61	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2112…38e9backed Sinners	8c	276.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Sashi Esport	54c	271.36$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.72	275	44%121 W · 154 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Sinners	71c	263.44$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.05	250	42.4%106 W · 144 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e0f…3cd7backed Sashi Esport	76c	259.37$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.25	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	63cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sinners	51c	241.26$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.12	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners	70c	230.06$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.92	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Sinners	43c	210.1$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.99	406	35.7%145 W · 261 L	-33.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8d7…1e7cbacked Sashi Esport	28c	208.96$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.45	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7813…eeccbacked Sinners	23c	197.29$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.09	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Sashi Esport	53c	186.75$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.33	576	41.5%239 W · 337 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Sashi Esport	37c	179.89$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.65	399	46.4%185 W · 214 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Sashi Esport	30c	174.26$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.26	336	27.7%93 W · 243 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Sinners	23c	163.91$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	916	48.9%448 W · 468 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7ae0…5c53backed Sinners	9c	160.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b3…9227backed Sinners	73c	158.52$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Sinners	25c	153.05$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.66	410	54.6%224 W · 186 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Sinners	65c	149.52$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.93	326	62%202 W · 124 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Sinners	67c	147.03$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	474	47.5%225 W · 249 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Sashi Esport	29c	140$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.4	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Sinners	63c	125.56$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.51	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sinners	29c	116.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-17.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Sashi Esport	61c	114.52$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	302	54.3%164 W · 138 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Sashi Esport	47c	104.05$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.65	222	52.7%117 W · 105 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd93…0370backed Sashi Esport	64c	103.78$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.36	23	91.3%21 W · 2 L	+6.5wins	+0.28per pick	63cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Sashi Esport	29c	100$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	79	58.2%46 W · 33 L	+6.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Sinners	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	230	72.6%167 W · 63 L	+27.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Sinners	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Sashi Esport	39c	97.69$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.15	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Sinners	61c	94.64$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.62	222	56.8%126 W · 96 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe727…8eb1backed Sinners	52c	93.38$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Sinners	66c	91.48$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.51	573	58.8%337 W · 236 L	+16.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sashi Esport	33c	87.62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Sashi Esport	31c	75$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.75	284	34.9%99 W · 185 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Sinners	75c	74.86$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.15	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-6.8wins	-0.31per pick	58cpaid	-48%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Sinners	70c	72.83$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.76	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sashi Esport	55c	71.81$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.32	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf4…e7c2backed Sinners	63c	70.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Sinners	46c	57.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.49	265	46.8%124 W · 141 L	-18.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Sinners	70c	55.89$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.29	384	52.1%200 W · 184 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…c31cbacked Sinners	62c	54.39$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Sashi Esport	36c	54.03$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.77	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Sinners	75c	49.96$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	171	53.2%91 W · 80 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Sashi Esport	51c	49.59$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	739	48.4%358 W · 381 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sinners	49c	47.21$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Sashi Esport	53c	46.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.97	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b8a…89e9backed Sinners	76c	46.8$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Sashi Esport	26c	46.77$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sashi Esport	32c	44.87$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.47	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Sashi Esport	52c	44.23$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	109	50.5%55 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Sinners	58c	44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	406	52.2%212 W · 194 L	+22.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3145…fcf5backed Sinners	53c	42.35$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	127	61.4%78 W · 49 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…c2fabacked Sinners	73c	42.1$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.73	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.47per pick	67cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked Sashi Esport	38c	41.38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.83	205	44.4%91 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed Sinners	51c	38.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	231	65.8%152 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Sashi Esport	79c	38$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	497	66.8%332 W · 165 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Sashi Esport	57c	36.86$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-19.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked Sashi Esport	32c	33.82$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.9	365	41.9%153 W · 212 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Sinners	52c	33.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	472	60%283 W · 189 L	+31.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Sinners	66c	33.41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Sinners	66c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	932	61.7%575 W · 357 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4990…d300backed Sinners	65c	23.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Sinners	70c	21.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	357	52.9%189 W · 168 L	+22.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Sinners	73c	20.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners	74c	19.18$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Sinners	67c	16.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Sinners	73c	15.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event