NHL · resolved market
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Henderson Silver Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31868a011a92d51642c9f1b53779633f8ca8a172c9afe0eb8f18aecb02d08a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Bakersfield Condors, Henderson Silver Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 58c | 5,409$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.16 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Bakersfield Condors | 43c | 2,810$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 738.38$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.12 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 621.01$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 395.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Bakersfield Condors | 40c | 327.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Henderson Silver Knights | 60c | 259.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 216.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bakersfield Condors | 40c | 206.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7813…eeccbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 60c | 163.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 137.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 137.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Henderson Silver Knights | 60c | 99.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Bakersfield Condors | 20c | 94.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Bakersfield Condors | 44c | 76.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 75.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Henderson Silver Knights | 59c | 69.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 68.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Henderson Silver Knights | 60c | 61.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Bakersfield Condors | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 50.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Bakersfield Condors | 41c | 48.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Bakersfield Condors | 41c | 30.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bakersfield Condors | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 69c | 27.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bakersfield Condors | 61c | 25.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 20.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 20.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…080ebacked Henderson Silver Knights | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.